Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 171-181.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2022.1030
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Zhipeng Chang1(), Zhiying Wang2, Wenhe Chen3
Received:
2022-05-10
Revised:
2022-10-13
Online:
2025-06-25
Published:
2025-07-04
Contact:
Zhipeng Chang
E-mail:changzp@126.com
CLC Number:
Zhipeng Chang, Zhiying Wang, Wenhe Chen. Decision Making Method of Major Epidemic Prevention and Control Strategy Based on Fuzzy Influence Diagrams and Prospect Theory[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2025, 33(6): 171-181.
"
△GDP频率 | -5% | -4% | -3% | -2% | -1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 6.7 |
0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 7.1 |
0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 6.7 |
0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 6.5 |
0.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 7.2 |
1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 7.4 |
"
△GDP频率 | -5% | -4% | -3% | -2% | -1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8.4 |
0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8.2 |
0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7.5 |
0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 7.5 |
0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 9.5 |
1.0 | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.9 | 1 | 10 |
"
△GDP频率 | -5% | -4% | -3% | -2% | -1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 6.7 |
0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0 | 6.5 |
0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0 | 5.8 |
0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0 | 7 |
0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 7.6 |
0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0 | 7 |
0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
"
△GDP | 美国实验参数 | 中国实验参数 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-5% | 0.0756 | 0.1701 | 0.0784 | 0.1265 | 0.1976 | 0.1292 |
-4% | 0.1499 | 0.1597 | 0.155 | 0.1848 | 0.1911 | 0.1881 |
-3% | 0.1499 | 0.1701 | 0.1843 | 0.1848 | 0.1976 | 0.2062 |
-2% | 0.1499 | 0.1487 | 0.1843 | 0.1848 | 0.1840 | 0.2062 |
-1% | 0.1783 | 0.1487 | 0.1843 | 0.2026 | 0.1840 | 0.2062 |
0% | 0.2037 | 0.1701 | 0.1843 | 0.2174 | 0.1976 | 0.2062 |
1% | 0.1935 | 0.1669 | 0.1989 | 0.2010 | 0.1777 | 0.2055 |
2% | 0.1935 | 0.1669 | 0.1989 | 0.2010 | 0.1777 | 0.2055 |
3% | 0.2157 | 0.1863 | 0.1989 | 0.2198 | 0.1947 | 0.2055 |
4% | 0.1680 | 0.1769 | 0.1727 | 0.1787 | 0.1865 | 0.1828 |
5% | 0.1370 | 0.1863 | 0.0000 | 0.1509 | 0.1947 | 0.0000 |
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