Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2024, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (10): 30-40.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2021.2467
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Zhiqiang Ye1,Shunming Zhang2(),Xuechen Shen1,Jiefei Zheng2
Received:
2021-11-29
Revised:
2022-03-02
Online:
2024-10-25
Published:
2024-11-09
Contact:
Shunming Zhang
E-mail:szhang@ruc.edu.cn
CLC Number:
Zhiqiang Ye,Shunming Zhang,Xuechen Shen,Jiefei Zheng. Volatility Timing Effect of Private Placement for Chinese Listed Firms[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(10): 30-40.
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变量类型 | 变量符号 | 变量含义 | 具体定义 |
---|---|---|---|
因变量 | PIPE | 定向增发哑变量 | 当第i家上市公司在第t月首次公开宣告股票定向增发时,PIPEi,t =1,否则PIPEi,t =0 |
自变量 | SD | 股票月度波动率 | 股票日收益率的月度标准差 |
控制变量 | MKT | 公司规模 | 公司总市值的自然对数 |
AGE | 公司年龄 | 公司成立日与所对应研究所在月最后一个交易日之间距离的天数,再除以365 | |
MB | 账面市值比 | 公司账面价值与市场价值的比值 | |
FIRST | 第一大股东持股比例 | 第一大股东持股数除以上市公司发行在外股票总数 | |
异质性 | Soe | 产权性质 | 按照上市公司实际控制人性质,定义为当实际控制人为国有时定义为国有企业,否则定义为非国有企业 |
DummyAGE | 公司年龄哑变量 | 公司成立日与所对应研究所在月末之间距离的天数,高于样本中位数则为成熟公司,反之则为年轻公司 | |
DummyBalance | 股权制衡度哑变量 | 第二至十大股东中持股比例超过5%的大股东持股比例之和与第一大股东持股比例的比值,高于样本中位数则为股权制衡度高公司,反之则为股权制衡度低公司 | |
DummyIntanAssets | 无形资产占比哑变量 | 无形资产总额与总资产的比值,高于样本中位数则为无形资产占比高公司,反之则为无形资产占比低公司 | |
经济后果 | Rate1 | 定向增发折价 | 增发时股票价格相对于前一年股票价格的收益率 |
Rate2 | 定向增发前后一年的收益率 | 增发后一年相对于增发前一年股票收益率 |
"
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
_cons | -0.006 (-0.83) | -0.014** (-2.42) | -0.022*** (-4.05) | -0.0084 (-0.34) | -0.130* (-1.67) | 0.000 (0.01) | |
SD | 0.933*** (16.92) | 0.218*** (6.53) | 0.991*** (17.36) | 1.550*** (6.50) | 1.0010*** (6.35) | 0.926** (2.37) | 0.423* (1.68) |
L1.SD | -0.311*** (-9.34) | 0.235*** (7.43) | -0.331*** (-9.47) | -2.312** (-1.98) | -0.1228 (-0.95) | -1.196*** (-3.22) | 0.399* (1.79) |
L2.SD | -0.049** (-1.97) | 0.061* (1.80) | -0.055*** (-2.10) | 0.450** (1.96) | -0.0513 (-0.51) | -0.604** (-2.49) | 0.185 (0.77) |
L3.SD | -0.072*** (-3.08) | 0.053* (1.78) | -0.075*** (-3.11) | -3.727*** (-3.08) | -0.0507 (-0.46) | 0.004 (0.01) | -0.107 (-0.38) |
F1.SD | -0.040 (-1.41) | -0.090*** (-3.76) | -0.036*** (-1.22) | 0.693*** (3.73) | 0.0830 (0.62) | 0.637** (1.96) | -0.058 (-0.28) |
F2.SD | -0.060** (-2.41) | 0.017 (0.59) | -0.068*** (-2.67) | 0.282 (0.82) | 0.0837 (0.75) | 0.078 (0.28) | -0.358** (-2.06) |
F3.SD | 0.012 (0.46) | -0.035 (-1.47) | 0.013 (0.48) | 0.392 (1.38) | 0.0266 (0.23) | -0.122 (-0.37) | 0.215 (1.06) |
MKT | 0.002*** (6.69) | 0.002*** (7.35) | 0.002*** (6.39) | 0.129*** (4.00) | 0.0038*** (2.64) | 0.004 (0.58) | -0.004 (-1.29) |
AGE | 0.000 (0.82) | 0.000 (0.75) | 0.000 (0.99) | 0.061*** (4.16) | -0.0006 (-1.22) | 0.000 (0.12) | 0.000 (-1.30) |
MB | -0.005*** (-4.40) | -0.008*** (-7.29) | -0.005*** (-4.35) | -1.992*** (-18.12) | -0.0089 (-1.06) | -0.013 (-0.25) | 0.024** (2.02) |
FIRST | -0.004** (-2.43) | -0.003* (-1.91) | -0.004** (-2.54) | 0.760*** (3.59) | 0.0259 (1.18) | -0.019 (-0.45) | 0.008 (0.41) |
Year Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Industry Fixed Effect | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
F | 8.87 | 11.10 | 8.37 | 2.02 | 3.07 | 2.20 | |
P>F | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |
avg. R-squared | 0.0998 | 0.0993 | 0.1040 | 0.5133 | 0.6486 | 0.5661 | |
LR chi2 | 2554.94 | ||||||
Prob> chi2 | 0.000 | ||||||
Obs | 461148 | 461148 | 401347 | 461148 | 32328 | 24569 | 92519 |
"
变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
国有企业 | 非国有企业 | 成熟公司 | 年轻公司 | 股权制衡度高 | 股权制衡度低 | 无形资产占比低 | 无形资产占比高 | |
_cons | -0.016** (-2.25) | -0.032*** (-2.64) | -0.012** (-1.94) | -0.094*** (-3.18) | -0.018*** (-3.35) | -0.021*** (-2.98) | -0.010 (-1.44) | -0.013* (-1.80) |
SD | 0.688*** (12.07) | 1.122*** (13.76) | 0.723*** (11.90) | 1.067*** (6.98) | 0.860*** (11.87) | 0.995*** (13.18) | 0.866*** (12.52) | 1.102*** (15.17) |
L1.SD | -0.188*** (-4.78) | -0.408*** (-8.01) | -0.219*** (-5.53) | -0.522*** (-3.61) | -0.307*** (-5.40) | -0.318*** (-7.61) | -0.293*** (-6.20) | -0.362*** (-8.80) |
L2.SD | -0.012 (-0.42) | -0.071*** (-1.76) | -0.037 (-1.20) | -0.121 (-0.80) | -0.075*** (-1.49) | -0.066*** (-1.91) | -0.032 (-0.82) | -0.064* (-1.84) |
L3.SD | -0.047* (-1.67) | -0.058*** (-1.50) | -0.058* (-1.75) | -0.235** (-2.06) | -0.094*** (-2.54) | -0.059*** (-1.79) | -0.062* (-1.80) | -0.067** (-2.09) |
F1.SD | -0.051 (-1.39) | -0.036*** (-0.73) | -0.022 (-0.60) | 0.054 (0.38) | -0.011*** (-0.28) | -0.056*** (-1.40) | -0.030 (-0.77) | -0.094** (-1.97) |
F2.SD | -0.067*** (-2.72) | -0.047*** (-1.10) | -0.060* (-1.85) | -0.008 (-0.09) | -0.062*** (-1.44) | -0.078*** (-2.21) | -0.048 (-1.19) | -0.086** (-2.34) |
F3.SD | 0.027 (0.93) | -0.006*** (-0.17) | 0.046 (1.28) | -0.207** (-2.01) | 0.069*** (1.57) | -0.007*** (-0.22) | 0.077* (1.92) | -0.012 (-0.34) |
MKT | 0.001*** (3.79) | 0.003*** (5.04) | 0.001*** (3.09) | -0.004 (-1.49) | 0.002*** (4.69) | 0.002*** (4.03) | 0.002*** (3.85) | 0.002*** (4.25) |
AGE | 0.000 (0.89) | 0.000*** (0.79) | -0.000 (-0.21) | 0.028*** (9.52) | 0.000*** (0.29) | 0.000*** (0.68) | 0.000 (0.63) | 0.000 (0.42) |
MB | 0.002 (1.13) | -0.004*** (-2.57) | -0.002 (-1.48) | -0.014* (-1.90) | -0.006*** (-3.73) | -0.003*** (-1.93) | -0.005*** (-2.71) | -0.005*** (-3.00) |
FIRST | -0.001 (-0.69) | 0.006*** (2.02) | 0.002 (0.70) | 0.005 (0.86) | -0.008*** (-2.15) | -0.004*** (-1.70) | -0.003 (-1.23) | -0.004* (-1.71) |
Year Fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Industry Fixed | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
F | 5.56 | 7.77 | 7.11 | 11.22 | 6.92 | 6.60 | 5.84 | 6.74 |
P>F | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
R2 | 0.176 | 0.182 | 0.173 | 0.336 | 0.184 | 0.167 | 0.175 | 0.155 |
Obs | 195464 | 264671 | 229825 | 231323 | 230519 | 230531 | 230576 | 230572 |
"
变量 | objtype | mean | p25 | p50 | p75 | sd | obs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rate1 | 1 | 0.457 | -0.084 | 0.227 | 0.718 | 0.885 | 2808 |
2 | 0.487 | -0.049 | 0.266 | 0.746 | 0.882 | 4475 | |
3 | 0.403 | -0.078 | 0.231 | 0.665 | 0.743 | 3423 | |
1,2,3 | 0.452 | -0.068 | 0.246 | 0.706 | 0.840 | 10706 | |
4 | 0.810 | -0.062 | 0.267 | 1.173 | 1.411 | 780 | |
Mean(objetype=1,2,3)-Mean(objetype=4)=-0.359,t=-6.776 | |||||||
Rate2 | 1 | 0.901 | -0.088 | 0.390 | 1.182 | 1.806 | 3124 |
2 | 0.854 | -0.099 | 0.390 | 1.168 | 1.742 | 5296 | |
3 | 0.671 | -0.168 | 0.299 | 1.023 | 1.446 | 4108 | |
1,2,3 | 0.799 | -0.122 | 0.356 | 1.127 | 1.661 | 12528 | |
4 | 0.568 | -0.267 | 0.018 | 0.549 | 1.685 | 779 | |
Mean(objetype=1,2,3)-Mean(objetype=4)=0.231,t=2.256 |
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