Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2023, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (10): 175-186.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2020.2118
Previous Articles Next Articles
Xin-yu HOU1,Shuai ZHANG2(),Shu-song BA2
Received:
2020-11-12
Revised:
2021-05-22
Online:
2023-10-15
Published:
2023-10-20
Contact:
Shuai ZHANG
E-mail:zs7683789@126.com
CLC Number:
Xin-yu HOU,Shuai ZHANG,Shu-song BA. Research on the Reputation Mechanism of Peer-to-Peer Lending Industry from the Perspective of Tripartite Dynamic Game[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2023, 31(10): 175-186.
"
变量 | 指数分布 | 威布尔分布 | 冈珀茨分布 |
---|---|---|---|
RUP | 0.509***(-7.37) | 0.478*** (-8.09) | 0.451*** (-8.74) |
cat_private | 31.088*** (33.9) | 35.130*** (35.06) | 43.308*** (36.46) |
peinvest | 20.530*** (12.01) | 21.439*** (12.19) | 23.491*** (12.55) |
cat_bank | 11.208** (2.24) | 11.5579** (2.26) | 13.429** (2.39) |
capital | 1.000 (0.44) | 1.000 (0.41) | 1.000 (0.24) |
capitalreal | 0.883*** (-3.22) | 0.855*** (-4.05) | 0.832*** (-4.74) |
association_national | 0.686 (-1.01) | 0.687 (-1.00) | 0.661 (-1.11) |
association_ local | 0.715** (-1.94) | 0.678** (-2.25) | 0.604*** (-2.93) |
association_chairman | 0.599 (-0.97) | 0.582 (-1.02) | 0.504 (-1.29) |
icp | 0.708*** (-3.62) | 0.669*** (-4.22) | 0.641*** (-4.68) |
guaranteedcapital | 0.850* (-1.87) | 0.836** (-2.07) | 0.826** (-2.22) |
guaranteedcapitalinterest | 0.985 (-0.18) | 1.002 (0.03) | 1.023 (0.29) |
guaranteedthirdparty | 0.904 (-0.91) | 0.877 (-1.18) | 0.843 (-1.54) |
mortgage | 0.822*( -1.8) | 0.813* (-1.9) | 0.827* (-1.74) |
vip | 1.016(0.19) | 1.033(0.37) | 1.047(0.51) |
riskreservefund | 0.867 (-1.22) | 0.860 (-1.3) | 0.852 (-1.38) |
compensation | 0.766** (-2.45) | 0.748** (-2.66) | 0.744*** (-2.72) |
No. of subjects/ failures | 5679/4120 | 5679/4120 | 5679/4120 |
Time at risk | 3975078 | 3975078 | 3975078 |
LR chi2(17) | 5265.96 | 5383.80 | 5576.54 |
Prob > chi2 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Log likelihood | -6316.0197 | -6223.1956 | -6109.5989 |
"
变量 | 对数正态 | 对数逻辑分布 | 伽马分布 |
---|---|---|---|
RUP | 0.8405*** (8.94) | 0.799*** (9.31) | 0.481*** (7.06) |
_cons | 8.514***(126.64) | 8.456***(120.91) | 9.593***(78.63) |
No. of subjects = | 5679 | 5679 | 5679 |
No. of failures | 4120 | 4120 | 4120 |
Time at risk | 3975078 | 3975078 | 3975078 |
LR chi2(17) | 4404.54 | 4536.00 | 5519.43 |
Prob > chi2 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
Log likelihood | -6875.188 | -6666.8609 | -6149.0489 |
1 | 张汉江,马超群,沙基昌,等. 信贷行为中的不完全信息动态博弈[J]. 系统工程理论与实践,1999,19(5): 7-12. |
Zhang Hanjiang, Ma Chaoqun, Sha Jichang,et al. Incomplete information dynamic games analysis on credit behavior[J]. Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice,1999,19(5): 7-12. | |
2 | 王会娟,廖理. 中国P2P网络借贷平台信用认证机制研究——来自“人人贷”的经验证据[J]. 中国工业经济,2014(4): 136-147. |
Wang Huijuan, Liao Li. Chinese P2P platform’s credit authentication mechanism research——evidence from renrendai[J]. China Industrial Economics,2014(4): 136-147. | |
3 | 吴佳哲.基于羊群效应的P2P网络借贷模式研究[J]. 国际金融研究,2015(11): 88-96. |
Wu Jiazhe. Research on P2P online lending model based on Herding[J]. Studies of International Finance,2015(11): 88-96. | |
4 | 王性玉,任乐,赵辉,等. 农户信誉特征、还款意愿传递与农户信贷可得——基于信号传递博弈的理论分析和实证检验[J]. 管理评论,2019,31(5): 77-88. |
Wang Xingyu, Ren Le, Zhao Hui,et al. Reputation, repayment willingness and farmer households' credit availability: theoretical analysis and empirical test based on signaling game[J]. Management Review,2019,31(5): 77-88. | |
5 | 李延喜,吴笛,肖峰雷,等. 声誉理论研究述评[J]. 管理评论,2010,22(10): 3-11. |
Li Yanxi, Wu Di, Xiao Fenglei,et al. A review of reputation theory[J]. Management Review,2010,22(10): 3-11. | |
6 | 刘思强,叶泽,黎建新. 在线交易卖家声誉对顾客信任和参与意愿的影响[J]. 系统工程,2014(12): 35-40. |
Liu Siqiang, Ye Ze, Li Jianxin. Effect of online transaction seller reputation on customer trust and willingness to participate[J]. Systems Engineering,2014(12): 35-40. | |
7 | 李焰,张迎新,王琳. 声誉的信息含量——来自P2P网络借贷的证据[J]. 管理评论,2019,31(4): 3-18. |
Li Yan, Zhang Yingxin, Wang Lin. The information content of reputation: evidence from Peer-to-Peer lending[J]. Management Review,2019,31(4): 3-18. | |
8 | 俞林,康灿华,王龙. 互联网金融监管博弈研究: 以P2P网贷模式为例[J]. 南开经济研究,2015(5): 126-139. |
Yu Lin, Kang Canhua, Wang Long. A study of regulatory measures of internet finance: taking the P2P net loan as an example[J]. Nankai Economic Studies,2015(5):126-139. | |
9 | 黄晓红,樊艳甜,吕睿. 声誉信号传递与P2P网络借贷平台逆向选择约束研究[J]. 郑州轻工业学院学报(社会科学版),2017,18(3): 68-73. |
Huang Xiaohong, Fan Yantian, Lv Rui. Study on reputation signal transmission and adverse selection constraint of P2P online lending platform[J]. Journal of Zhengzhou University of Light Industry(Social Science Edition),2017,18(3): 68-73. | |
10 | 刘伟,夏立秋,王一雷. 动态惩罚机制下互联网金融平台行为及监管策略的演化博弈分析[J]. 系统工程理论与实践,2017,37(5): 1113-1122. |
Liu Wei, Xia Liqiu, Wang Yilei. Analysis on the behavior of internet finance platform and regulation strategy under dynamic punishment mechanism based on evolutionary game theory[J]. Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice,2017,37(5): 1113-1122. | |
11 | Padilla J, Pagano M. Sharing default information as a borrower discipline device[J]. European Economic Review,2000,44(10): 1951-1980. |
12 | Cassar A, Crowley L, Wydick B. The effect of social capital on group loan repayment: evidence from field experiments[J]. The Economic Journal,2007,117: 85-106. |
13 | 王宗润,杨梅,周艳菊. 互联网金融涌现的逻辑:投资人的视角[J]. 系统工程理论与实践,2016,36(11): 2791-2801. |
Wang Zongrun, Yang Mei, Zhou Yanju. Logic of the emergence of Internet finance: investor's perspective[J]. Systems Engineering—Theory & Practice,2016,36(11): 2791-2801. | |
14 | 赵荧梅,郭本海,刘思峰. 不完全信息下产品质量监管多方博弈模型[J]. 中国管理科学,2017,25(2):111-120. |
Zhao Yingmei, Guo Benhai, Liu Sifeng. A multi-player game model about product quality regulation based on incomplete information[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science,2017, 25(2): 111-120. | |
15 | 刘伟,夏立秋. 网络借贷市场参与主体行为策略的演化博弈均衡分析——基于三方博弈的视角[J]. 中国管理科学,2018, 26(5): 169-177. |
Liu Wei, Xia Liqiu. Analysis on the behavioral strategy of participants on online lending market based on evolutionary game theory——A trilateral game perspective[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science,2018,26(5): 169-177. | |
16 | McIntosh C, Wydick B. Competition and microfinance[J]. Journal of Development Economics,2005,78(2): 271-298. |
17 | 高觉民,赵沁乐. P2P网络借贷平台信用风险——博弈视角下声誉机制的混同均衡[J]. 南京财经大学学报,2017,(2): 96-108. |
Gao Juemin, Zhao Qinle. The credit risk of P2P online lending platform: pooling equilibrium of reputation mechanism from the perspective of game theory[J]. Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,2017,(2): 96-108. | |
18 | 肖条军,盛昭瀚. 两阶段基于信号博弈的声誉模型[J]. 管理科学学报,2003,6(1): 29-33. |
Xiao Tiaojun, Sheng Zhaohan. Two-period reputation model based on signaling game[J]. Journal of Management Science in China,2003,6(1): 29-33. | |
19 | Felix M G. A systematic procedure for finding perfect Bayesian equilibria in incomplete information games[J]. Journal of Industrial Organization Education,2012,6(1): 1-18. |
20 | 肖条军,盛昭瀚. 信号博弈均衡结果的唯一性及其算法[J]. 系统工程学报,2000,15(4): 367-372. |
Xiao Tiaojun, Sheng Zhaohan. Algorithm and uniqueness of the equilibrium outcome of signaling game[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering,2000,15(4): 367-372 | |
21 | 张汉江,李聪颖. 教育提升就业能力的分离均衡条件及其政策寓意[J]. 中国管理科学,2013,21(S2): 738-744. |
Zhang Hanjiang, Li Congying. Separation equilibrium condition and policy implication of education promoting employability[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science,2013,21(S2): 738-744. | |
22 | 张海洋. 信息披露监管与P2P借贷运营模式[J]. 经济学(季刊),2017(1): 375-396. |
Zhang Haiyang. Regulation of information disclosure and the patterns of P2P lending in China[J]. China Economic Quarterly,2017(1): 375-396. | |
23 | 巴曙松,侯鑫彧,张帅. 基于生存模型的P2P平台生存规律与政策模拟研究[J]. 当代财经,2018(1): 44-56. |
Ba Shusong, Hou Xinyu, Zhang Shuai. A Study of the survival law and policy simulation of P2P platform based on survival model[J]. Contemporary Finance & Economics,2018(1): 44-56. | |
24 | 方兴. 行业协会能够促进P2P网贷健康发展吗[J]. 当代财经,2018(7): 57-68. |
Fang Xing. Can industry association promote the sound development of P2P online lending[J]. Contemporary Finance & Economics,2018(7): 57-68. | |
25 |
Li E, Liao Li, Wang Zhengwei,et al. Venture capital certification and customer response: evidence from P2P lending platform[J]. Journal of Corporate Finance,2020,DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2019.101533 .
doi: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2019.101533 |
26 | Chen Shiyi, Gu Yan, Liu Qingfu,et al. How do lenders evaluate borrowers in peer-to-peer lending in China?[J]. International Review of Economics & Finance,2020,69: 651-662. |
27 | Bardsley P, Meager R. Competing lending platforms, endogenous reputation, and fragility in microcredit markets[J]. European Economic Review,2019,112: 107-126. |
28 | 赵岩青,何广文.农户联保贷款有效性问题研究[J]. 金融研究,2007(7): 64-80. |
Zhao Yanqing, He Guangwen. Research on the validity of farmers' group lending[J]. Journal of Financial Research,2007(7): 64-80. | |
29 | 谢世清,李四光. 中小企业联保贷款的信誉博弈分析[J]. 经济研究,2011,46(1): 97-111. |
Xie Shiqing, Li Siguang. A game analysis on the SMEs’group lending reputation model[J]. Economic Research Journal,2011,46(1): 97-111. | |
30 | 吴德胜,李维安. 集体声誉、可置信承诺与契约执行——以网上拍卖中的卖家商盟为例[J]. 经济研究,2009,44(6): 142-154. |
Wu Desheng, Li Weian. Collective reputation, credible commitment and enforcement: the case of seller coalition in China’s online auction market[J]. Economic Research Journal,2009,44(6): 142-154. | |
31 | 黄益平,邱晗. 大科技信贷:一个新的信用风险管理框架[J]. 管理世界,2021,37(2): 12-21. |
Huang Yiping, Qiu Han. Big tech lending: a new credit risk management framework[J]. Management World,2021,37(2): 12-21. | |
32 | Enriques L, Ringe W G. Bank—fintech partnerships, outsourcing arrangements and the case for a mentorship regime[J]. Capital Markets Law Journal,2020,15(4): 374-397. |
33 | Cheng L T W, Sharma P, Shen Jianfu, et al. Exploring the dark side of third-party certification effect in B2B relationships: a professional financial services perspective[J]. Journal of Business Research,2021,127(3): 123-136. |
34 | Chen Xueru, Hu Xioaji, Shenglin Ben. How do reputation, structure design and FinTech ecosystem affect the net cash inflow of P2P lending platforms? Evidence from China[J]. Electronic Commerce Research,2020(1): 1-28. |
[1] | Jianying Li,Weiqi Liu,Dongliang Yuan. Corporate Social Responsibility and Stock Price Extreme Volatility Risk: Evidence from Enterprise Participation in Poverty Governance [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(8): 15-24. |
[2] | LI Jian, WANG Ya-jie, WU Jun, YANG Feng-mei. Research on Incentive Mechanism of Banks to Logistics Company in Inventory Financing Considering Reputation Effect [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2017, 25(7): 86-92. |
[3] | ZHANG Wei-dong, GENG Xiao. The Study of Charging Mechanism of Internet Trading Platform Based on Tripartite Game Model [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2014, 22(12): 135-141. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||
|