Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2022, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (8): 57-68.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2020.0138
• Articles • Previous Articles Next Articles
WU Jin-yan1, WANG Peng2,3
Received:
2020-01-31
Revised:
2020-05-13
Online:
2022-08-20
Published:
2022-08-18
Contact:
王鹏
E-mail:wanpengcd@126.com
CLC Number:
WU Jin-yan, WANG Peng. Factors Affecting the Risk Contagion of the Stock Market: An Evidence from Industry-Level Data[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2022, 30(8): 57-68.
[1] 何诚颖. 中国股市 “板块现象” 分析[J]. 经济研究, 2001, 12: 82-87.He Chengying. An analysis of the category phenomenon in Chinese stock market[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2001, 12: 82-87. [2] Wu Fei. Sectoral contributions to systemic risk in the Chinese stock market[J]. Finance Research Letters, 2019, 31: 386-390. [3] Acemoglu D, Ozdaglar A, Tahbaz-Salehi A. Systemic risk and stability in financial networks[J]. American Economic Review, 2015, 105(2): 564-608. [4] Yang Zihui, Zhou Yinggang. Quantitative easing and volatility spillovers across countries and asset classes[J]. Management Science, 2016, 63(2): 333-354. [5] Ewing B T. The transmission of shocks among S&P indexes[J]. Applied Financial Economics, 2002, 12(4): 285-290. [6] Hassan S A, Malik F. Multivariate GARCH modeling of sector volatility transmission[J]. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2007, 47(3): 470-480. [7] Phylaktis K, Xia Lichuan. Equity market comovement and contagion: A sectoral perspective[J]. Financial Management, 2009, 38(2): 381-409. [8] Chiu Wanchien, Pea J I, Wang Chihwei. Industry characteristics and financial risk contagion[J]. Journal of Banking and Finance, 2015, 50: 411-427. [9] 徐晓光, 廖文欣, 郑尊信. 沪港通背景下行业间波动溢出效应及形成机理[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2017, 34(3): 112-127.Xu Xiaoguang, Liao Wenxin, Zheng Zunxin. Inter-industry volatility spillover effect and its formation mechanism under the background of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect Program[J]. The Journal of Quantitative and Technical Economics, 2017, 34(3): 112-127. [10] 黄乃静, 张冰洁, 郭冬梅,等. 中国股票市场行业间金融传染检验和风险防范[J]. 管理科学学报, 2017, 20(12): 19-28.Huang Naijing, Zhang Binjie, Guo Dongmei, et al. Industry-level financial contagion of the Chinese stock market and risk control[J]. Journal of Management Sciences in China, 2017, 20(12): 19-28. [11] 陈暮紫, 赵婷婷, 刘承林, 等. 跨部门金融机构系统重要性和共振效应的动态演化研究——基于中国 A 股市场的实证[J]. 中国管理科学, 2020, 28(4): 36-47.Chen Muzi, Zhao Tingting, Liu Chenglin, et al. Dynamic evolution study on inter-sector financial institution systemic importance and resonance effects[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science,2020,28(4):36-47. [12] Kaminsky G L, Reinhart C M, Vegh C A. The unholy trinity of financial contagion[J]. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2003, 17(4): 51-74. [13] Pasquariello P. Imperfect competition, information heterogeneity, and financial contagion[J]. The Review of Financial Studies, 2006, 20(2): 391-426. [14] Cass D, Pavlova A. On trees and logs[J]. Journal of Economic Theory, 2004, 116(1): 41-83. [15] Bekaert G, Ehrmann M, Fratzscher M, et al. The global crisis and equity market contagion[J]. The Journal of Finance, 2014, 69(6): 2597-2649. [16] King M A, Wadhwani S. Transmission of volatility between stock markets[J]. The Review of Financial Studies, 1990, 3(1): 5-33. [17] Fleming J, Kirby C, Ostdiek B. Information and volatility linkages in the stock, bond, and money markets[J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 1998, 49(1): 111-137. [18] Kodres L E, Pritsker M. A rational expectations model of financial contagion[J]. The Journal of Finance, 2002, 57(2): 769-799. [19] Calvo G A. Contagion in emerging markets: When wall street is a carrier[M]//Calvo G A. Latin American Economic Crises. London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2004: 81-91. [20] Kyle A S, Xiong Wei. Contagion as a wealth effect[J]. The Journal of Finance, 2001, 56(4): 1401-1440. [21] Yuan Kathy. Asymmetric price movements and borrowing constraints: A rational expectations equilibrium model of crises, contagion, and confusion[J]. The Journal of Finance, 2005, 60(1): 379-411. [22] Baumol W J. An expected gain-confidence limit criterion for portfolio selection[J]. Management Science, 1963, 10(1): 174-182. [23] Adrian T, Brunnermeier M K. CoVaR[J]. The American Economic Review, 2016, 106(7): 1705. [24] Forbes K J, Rigobon R. No contagion, only interdependence: Measuring stock market comovements[J]. The Journal of Finance, 2002, 57(5): 2223-2261. [25] Gómez-Puig M, Sosvilla-Rivero S. Causes and hazards of the euro area sovereign debt crisis: Pure and fundamentals-based contagion[J]. Economic Modelling, 2016, 56: 133-147. [26] Diebold F X, Ylmaz K. On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms[J]. Journal of Econometrics, 2014, 182(1): 119-134. [27] Karimalis E N, Nomikos N K. Measuring systemic risk in the European banking sector: A copula CoVaR approach[J]. The European Journal of Finance, 2018, 24(11): 944-975. [28] Reboredo J C, Ugolini A. Systemic risk in European sovereign debt markets: A CoVaR-copula approach[J]. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2015, 51: 214-244. [29] 中国投入产出课题组. 我国目前产业关联度分析——2002 年投入产出表系列分析报告之一[J]. 统计研究, 2006, 23(11): 3-8.Chinese Input-Output Research Group.The analysis of current interrelation between Industries of China: the first of series reports on input-output tables of 2002[J]. Statistical Research, 2006, 23(11): 3-8. [30] 王岳平, 葛岳静. 我国产业结构的投入产出关联特征分析[J]. 管理世界, 2007,23(2): 61-68.Wang Yueping, Ge Yuejing. An analysis of the characteristics of the relations between the Input and the output in China’s industrial stucture[J]. Management World, 2007,23(2): 61-68. [31] 冯用富, 王庆仁, 苟骏. 约束条件下理性与中国股市投资者行为[J]. 金融研究, 2004(9): 57-64.Feng Yongfu, Wang Qingren, Gou Jun. Rationality under constraint conditions and the Investor’s behavior in China stock market[J]. Journal of Financial Research, 2004(9): 57-64. [32] 陈炜, 袁子甲, 何基报. 异质投资者行为与价格形成机制研究[J]. 经济研究, 2013(4): 43-54.Chen Wei, Yuan Zijia, He Jibao. The study on behavior of heterogeneous investor and price information[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2013(4): 43-54. [33] 许年行, 于上尧, 伊志宏. 机构投资者羊群行为与股价崩盘风险[J]. 管理世界, 2013,29(7): 31-43.Xu Nianxing, Yu Shangyao, Yi Zhihong. Institutional investors’ herding behavior and stock price crash risk[J]. Management World, 2013,29(7): 31-43. [34] 何诚颖, 陈锐, 蓝海平. 投资者非持续性过度自信与股市反转效应[J]. 管理世界, 2014,30(8): 44-54.He Chengying, Chen Rui, Lan Haiping. Investors’ non-sustained overconfidence and reversal effect in stock market[J]. Management World, 2014,30(8): 44-54. [35] De Long J B, Shleifer A, Summers L H. Noise trader risk in financial markets[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1990, 98(4): 703-738. [36] Baker M, Wurgler J. Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns[J]. The Journal of Finance, 2006, 61(4): 1645-1680. [37] 黄创霞, 温石刚, 杨鑫, 等. 个体投资者情绪与股票价格行为的互动关系研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2020, 28(3): 191-200.Huang Chuangxia, Wen Shigang, Yang Xin, et al.The interactive relationship between individual investor sentiment and stock price behaviors[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science,2020,28(3):191-200. [38] Hutton A P, Marcus A J, Tehranian H. Opaque financial reports, R2, and crash risk[J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 2009, 94(1): 67-86. [39] Bhattacharya U, Daouk H, Welker M. The world price of earnings opacity[J]. The Accounting Review, 2003, 78(3): 641-678. [40] Dechow P M, Sloan R G, Sweeney A P. Detecting earnings management[J]. Accounting Review, 1995, 70(2): 2-42. [41] Fang Vivian, Noe T H, Tice S. Stock market liquidity and firm value[J]. Journal of Financial Economics, 2009, 94(1): 150-169. [42] Tissaoui K, Ftiti Z, Aloui C. Commonality in liquidity: Lessons from an emerging stock market[J]. Journal of Applied Business Research, 2015, 31(5): 1927-1952. [43] Rouwenhorst K G. Local return factors and turnover in emerging stock markets[J]. The Journal of Finance, 1999, 54(4): 1439-1464. [44] Avramov D, Chordia T. Asset pricing models and financial market anomalies[J]. The Review of Financial Studies, 2006, 19(3): 1001-1040. [45] 易志高, 茅宁. 中国股市投资者情绪测量研究: CICSI的构建[J]. 金融研究, 2009(11): 174-184.Yi Zhigao, Mao Ning. Research on the measurement of investor sentiment in Chinese stock market: The CICSI’s construction[J]. Journal of Financial Research, 2009 (11): 174-184. [46] Huszár Z R, Tan R S K, Zhang W. Do short sellers exploit industry information?[J]. Journal of Empirical Finance, 2017, 41: 118-139. |
[1] | Ranran Guo,Wuyi Ye,Xiaoquan Liu,Baiqi Miao. The Tail Dependence Between Commodity Futures Portfolios:Based on qpr-MIDAS Model [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(10): 11-19. |
[2] | Xintao Han,Xiaomin Zhang,Xing Liu. The Optimal Monetary Policy Choice in Cooperation with Macro-Prudential Management: Based on China’s DSGE Analysis [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(10): 1-10. |
[3] | Sicong Cheng,Tianyi Wang. Overnight Information and Option Pricing Model [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(9): 1-10. |
[4] | Xinyu Wu,Haibin Xie,Chaoqun Ma. Economic Policy Uncertainty and Renminbi Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS Model [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(8): 1-14. |
[5] | Nan Xie,Haitao He,Yanju Zhou,Zongrun Wang. Research on Supply Chain Financial Decision Based on the Analysis of Central Government Project Subsidy under the Background of Rural Revitalization Subsidy [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(8): 214-229. |
[6] | Xiaojian Yu,Guopeng Liu,Jianlin Liu,Weilin Xiao. Stock Index Prediction Based on LSTM Network and Text Sentiment Analysis [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(8): 25-35. |
[7] | Xuanming Ni,Tiantian Zheng,Huimin Zhao,Kangping Wu. Asset Pricing Based on the Optimal Idiosyncratic Return Factor [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(8): 50-60. |
[8] | Wenhua Yu,Xiangyang Ren,Kun Yang,Yu Wei. Asymmetric Effects of Infectious Diseases-related Uncertainty on the Volatility of Commodity Futures [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(5): 254-264. |
[9] | Yi Cai,Zhenpeng Tang,Junchuang Wu,Xiaoxu Du,Kaijie Chen. Research on the Application of GWO-SVR Algorithm in the Prediction of Reverse Mixed Data in Stock Market and Investment Strategy [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(5): 73-80. |
[10] | Zhongfei Li,Qi Zhou. An Industry Allocation Model Based on BL Model and Complex Network [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(4): 1-13. |
[11] | Xuetong Zhang,Weiguo Zhang,Chao Wang. Tail Risks in Developed and Emerging Markets——Test of Spillover, Contagion and Contagion Determinants [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(4): 14-25. |
[12] | Haiyuan Yin,Wenjuan Kou. Investor Sentiment Based on Naive Bayes Method and Its Impact on Stock Idiosyncratic Risk [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(4): 38-47. |
[13] | Xiaoyan Wang,Shenggang Yang,Kekun Zhang. Ultimate Ownership Structure and Entrusted Loan Behavior of Enterprises [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(4): 48-57. |
[14] | Aizhong Li,Ruoen Ren,Jichang Dong. Graph Network Risk Perception and Sparse Low-rank Portfolio Management Strategy [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(4): 58-65. |
[15] | Xinyu Wu,Xiaoqing Jiang,Xindan Li,Chaoqun Ma. The Pricing of SSE 50 ETF Options with Realized EGARCH-FHS Model [J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024, 32(3): 105-115. |
Viewed | ||||||
Full text |
|
|||||
Abstract |
|
|||||
|