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Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2012, Vol. ›› Issue (2): 159-166.

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How CO2 Emissions Structure Evolves With the Process of Industrialization

ZHANG Yi1,2, XIA Yan1   

  1. 1. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy research, Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;
    2. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100190, China
  • Received:2011-06-30 Revised:2012-02-19 Online:2012-04-29 Published:2012-04-25

Abstract: In order to dynamically investigate the historical evolution of CO2 emissions induced by consumption and fixed capital investment, this paper defines the concepts of consumption-based CO2 emissions (CPE) and construction-based CO2 emissions (CTE), and proposes the ratio of consumption-based CO2 emissions to construction-based CO2 emissions (RCC) as a partial indicator of the CO2 emissions structure which synchronously considers the consumption-based CO2 emissions and construction-based CO2 emissions. The study employs an environmentally extended input-output analysis model (EE-IOA) to estimate the carbon emissions of consumption-based CO2 and construction-based CO2. By analyzing data totaling 86 samples from 32 countries, the study evaluates the evolution of RCC during the process of industrialization (including post-industrialization period). The empirical results indicate that RCC increases with the advance of industrialization; we should set the carbon emission reduction goals that considering the reduction potentials of consumption-based CO2 emissions and construction-based CO2 emissions, and enhance the enterprise carbon emission reduction activity by the market power through transforming consumer’s consumption habit into low-carbon. The significant outcome of this paper is the development of a method for correctly evaluating the emissions levels of countries at different stages of development, in order to establish reasonable emissions reduction targets.

Key words: dioxide carbon emissions, industrialization level, stage of economic development, input-output technique, ratio of consumption-based CO2 emissions to construction-based CO2 emissions

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