Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2008, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (1): 180-186.
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FANG Zhi-geng, LIU Si-feng, SHI Hong-xing, XU Zheng-dong
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Abstract: The main contacts of dynamic game analysis theories are sub-game perfect Nash equilibrium analysis,whose key method is backwards induction. Since a long time,it is so confused for academia that the backwards induction is definitely unsuitable with the fact. This paper reveals the origin of backwards induction:first of all,the micro logic is wrong for overall macro logic neglect. In other words,so meo ne focuses on recent interest rather than long interest. Secondly classic multi-stage model of the dynamic game structure cannot fit for the people to consider and balancedly analyze the overall and long interest. This paper constructs a modern structure based on the future dynamic game model and designs the backstepping grey structured algorithm of dynamic multi-stage game,constructs the termination and guide of the multistage dynamic game and offers the convenient and efficient balanced analysis and further explains the paradox of Centipede game.
Key words: Centipede game, grey structured algorithm, the termination and guide of the multi-stage dynamic game
CLC Number:
C931
FANG Zhi-geng, LIU Si-feng, SHI Hong-xing, XU Zheng-dong. Solving the Paradox of Centipede Game:A New Model of Grey Structured Algorithm of Forwards Induction[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2008, 16(1): 180-186.
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