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中国管理科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (2): 69-79.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2020.02.007

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于看跌期权契约的应急物资采购储备模型

扈衷权1,2, 田军2, 冯耕中2   

  1. 1. 西安电子科技大学经济与管理学院, 陕西 西安 710126;
    2. 西安交通大学管理学院, 陕西 西安 710049
  • 收稿日期:2017-01-13 修回日期:2019-04-12 出版日期:2020-02-20 发布日期:2020-03-03
  • 通讯作者: 田军(1964-),男(汉族),山东东平人,西安交通大学管理学院,教授,博士生导师,研究方向:物流与供应链管理、突发事件应急管理等,E-mail:tianjun@mail.xjtu.edu.cn. E-mail:tianjun@mail.xjtu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社科基金资助项目(19YJA630068);国家自然科学基金资助项目(71171157,71390331)

A Procurement and Reserve Model of Emergency Supplies based on Put Option Contracts

HU Zhong-quan1,2, TIAN Jun2, FENG Geng-zhong2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Xidian University, Xi'an 710126, China;
    2. School of Management, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China
  • Received:2017-01-13 Revised:2019-04-12 Online:2020-02-20 Published:2020-03-03

摘要: 应急物资具有峰值需求量大,需求不确定性强,缺货成本高等特点,这使得政府必须在事前进行一定数量的物资储备。然而,由于应急物资需求的发生概率较低,针对食品药品等一类具有保质期限的物资,一旦在保质期限内需求未发生,则会造成大量的浪费与损失,加重政府的财政负担。虽然传统供应链中的回购契约可使政府将剩余物资回售给供应方,能够在一定程度上降低政府成本,但是供应方并没有因承担多余风险而获取到额外收益。基于此,本文设计了一种基于看跌期权契约的应急物资采购储备模型,用于解决保质期风险而引发的损失问题,并分析了实现政企供应链协调的机制,探讨了双方实现共赢协调的具体条件。此外,本文进一步表明与回购契约相比,基于看跌期权契约所建立的采购储备模式能够在降低政府成本的同时,合理地补偿供应方因承担多余风险而造成的损失,更好地保障了供应方的利益,达到了政府和供应方双赢的目的。

关键词: 应急物资采购, 政府储备, 看跌期权契约, 保质期, 供应链协调

Abstract: Emergency supplies have the characteristics of large peak demand, strong demand uncertainty and high shortage cost.Therefore, a certain amount of emergency supplies must be reserved by governments in advance.However, if there is no demand within period for a certain kind of supplies with a quality guarantee period, such as food and medicine, it will not only cause a lot of waste, but also increase the financial burden of governments. Although surplus supplies can be sold back to the supplier by the government through buyback contracts, which can reduce the government's cost, but additional benefits is not gained by the supplier with taking on excess risks. Based on this, a procurement model of emergency supplies based on put option contracts is designed, which is used to solve the problem. After solving the optimal decision of the government under the put option contract, some conclusions are found:
(1) Only when the option price and execution price of the put option contract satisfy a certain condition, the put option contract can be used by the governments to purchase supplies, and the conclusion that the buyback contracts is a special form of the put option contracts is also found. In addition, compared with the traditional purchase mode (based on the wholesale price contract), the risk of the quality guarantee period can be solve effectively by the put option contract, which can also increase the government's purchasing volume and effectively reduce the shortage risk.
(2) On this basis, the mechanism of realizing supply chain coordination between the government and the enterprise is analyzed and the conclusion that there is a negative correlation between the option price and the execution price, which is different from supply chain coordination conditions under call option contracts, is also found.Meanwhile, both the government's cost and the supplier's income increase with the increase of the option price. Therefore, under the put option contract, the government will prefer low option price, while the supplier will prefer high.
(3) Finally, compared with the traditional procurement model, the range of the option price is given when the government and the enterprise achieve win-win cooperation under the put option contract. What's more, compared with the buyback contract, the conclusion that the purchase mechanism based on the put option contract can reasonably compensate the loss caused by the supplier assuming surplus risk and reduce the government's cost is proved, which reflect the superiority of the procurement model of emergency supplies based on the put option contract.

Key words: emergency supplies purchasing, government reserve, put option contract, quality guarantee period, coordination of supply chain

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