我国城市人口合理规模的系统预测研究

Abstract

Abstract: The article uses the possibility-satisfaction ability method of system engineering to build the forecasting model of the reasonable population scope in our city.It incorporates lots of factors in five aspects that are the level of economics,social living,level of resources,environments and strength requires,and finds the reasonable population scope and the conditions that the scope relies on at an objective time.The article proves its effectiveness by means of demonstration.

Key words: reasonable population scope, possibility-satisfaction ability, systematic forecasting

CLC Number:

C931

CHEN Cheng-xian,GUO Jian-guang,WANG Huan-chen. Forecasting Model and Acuity Degree Analysis of the Reasonable Population Scope in Shanghai City[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2002, (4): 59-63.

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Forecasting Model and Acuity Degree Analysis of the Reasonable Population Scope in Shanghai City

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