基于粒计算的非常规突发事件情景层次模型

doi:10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2017.01.014

Abstract

Abstract: To cover the shortages of existent scenario representation models and scenario construction methods for unconventional emergency in being used to support multi-level emergency management personnel, the formal representation of scenario elements is discussed firstly. Then, the hierarchical scenario model of unconventional emergency based on granular computing is proposed. Afterwards, the scenario generalization algorithm is put forward to realize the scenario generalization processes from low-level scenarios to up-level scenarios. In the end, an example is analyzed to illustrate the application process and to prove the scientificalness and the feasibility of the proposed model. The results show that the hierarchical scenario model of unconventional emergency based on granular computing can generate scenario structures of different granularities which can be used to support multi-level emergency management personnel on the basis of complex and uncertain scenario information.

Key words: unconventional emergency, scenario, hierarchical scenario model, scenario generalization, granular computing

CLC Number:

X913.4

CHEN Xue-long, LU Dan, DAI Peng. Hierarchical Scenario Model of Unconventional Emergency Based on Granular Computing[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2017, 25(1): 129-138.

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Hierarchical Scenario Model of Unconventional Emergency Based on Granular Computing

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