基于投入产出系数矩阵的周期增长模型

Abstract

Abstract: On the basis of cyclic growth theory of Richard Goodwin and Andrew Brody, this paper constructs a nonlinear cyclic growth model of an open economy with an input-output coefficient matrix. The periodic frequency spectrums of Chinese economic growth are calculated with a simplified form of that model based on the 42 sector input-output tables of China. The results show that the model is appropriate and robust to China economy’s cycles. The data unveils that Chinese economy performs cyclic motions mainly in about 6 year wave length since 1978 and is extending to about 10 years.

Key words: cyclic growth model, Goodwin model, frequency spectrum, input-output

CLC Number:

F037.1

LIU Xin-jian, LU Jing-hui. A Cyclic Growth Model Based on Input-Output Coefficient Matrix[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2012, (2): 57-61.

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A Cyclic Growth Model Based on Input-Output Coefficient Matrix

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