主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2004, Vol. ›› Issue (2): 22-26.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

A Real Option Pricing Model Based on Information Entropy Theory

CAI Jian-xue, QIU Wan-hua   

  1. School of Economics and Management, Beihang University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China
  • Received:2003-07-17 Online:2004-04-28 Published:2012-03-07

Abstract: This paper presents a real option pricing model based on information-theory. It depends on historical data and investor’s experience to estimate the option price of a project or production,as a result it avoids the problem caused by traditional option pricing models which heavily rely on the choice of parameters and many assumptions.Furthermore,in this paper,the author also discusses the relationship between this model and the traditional option pricing model,and reasonably explains the importance of information in the investment decision Finally,the applicaition value of this model is illustrated by using an example.

Key words: Information, real option, risk-neutral probabilities, cross-entropy

CLC Number: