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Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2009, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (1): 113-118.

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Small-Medium-Enterprise Financial Failure Prediction Considering Efficiency

XU Xiao-yan, LI Tao, CHEN Hua   

  1. Management School, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
  • Received:2008-06-30 Revised:2008-11-18 Online:2009-02-28 Published:2009-02-28

Abstract: Small-mediument erprises(SMEs) play an important role in regional and national economy By analyzing the business characteristics of SMEs, this paper presents an attribute system for SME financial-failure prediction, and then develops a SME financial failure prediction method based on Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) and Support Vector Machine(SV M) Compared with the generalattribute system offi-ancial failure prediction, the main difference of the proposed attribute system is that the business efficiency is included. We collect historical data of 70 SMEs from a financing support organization in Anhui province, and apply the proposed method to the historical data of the 70 SMEs Experiment results conform the efficacy of the proposed method.

Key words: financial failure prediction, attr ibute system, efficiency, small-medium-enterprise, support vector machin

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