呼吸道传染病疫情下地铁站行人感染风险控制

doi:10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2022.1511

Abstract

Abstract:

In order to reduce the virus infection risk of pedestrians in the subway station， simulation modeling and optimization methods are used to study the management measures to reduce the infection rate of pedestrians in the station. A virus transmission model in subway stations is proposed by analyzing the spreading mechanism of respiratory infectious diseases virus and the probability of pedestrians being infected by the virus. A two-stage model of pedestrian movement in subway stations is proposed： massive video data is used to predict the target selection of pedestrians， the basic characteristics of pedestrian movement are extracted， and then the pedestrian route planning process is simulated. On this basis， a pedestrian motion simulation system in the subway station under the epidemic is established based on the NetLogo simulation platform. The SB-RS （Sequential Bifurcation-Response Surface） simulation optimization method is proposed that can be used for the study of pedestrian infection risk management in all double-deck Island subway stations under the epidemic. In the case analysis， suggestions on the optimal setting of pedestrian infection risk control in Wuhan Optics Valley Square station under the epidemic of respiratory infectious diseases are put forward， including the number of escalators， the running speed of escalators， the walking speed of pedestrians， and the number of entrances and exits.

Key words: subway station, COVID-19 epidemic, pedestrian movement model, virus transmission model, simulation optimization

CLC Number:

C931

Jia Liu, Xin Yuan, Weiqiao Ruan, Jinyu Bai. Infection Risk Control of Pedestrians in Subway Stations under Epidemic of Respiratory Infectious Diseases[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2025, 33(5): 236-246.

Figures/Tables 13

References 46

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编号	变量名	变量含义(单位)	低水平	高水平
1	NS	楼梯的数量(部)	2	1
2	NE	自动扶梯的数量(部)	3	1
3	SE	自动扶梯的运行速度(m/s)	0.75	0.50
4	DE₁	自动扶梯1的运行方向	0	1
5	DE₂	自动扶梯2的运行方向	0	1
6	DE₃	自动扶梯3的运行方向	0	1
7	NG	闸机组的数量(组)	6	1
8	DG₁	闸机组1的运行方向	0	1
9	DG₂	闸机组2的运行方向	0	1
10	DG₃	闸机组3的运行方向	0	1
11	DG₄	闸机组4的运行方向	0	1
12	DG₅	闸机组5的运行方向	0	1
13	DG₆	闸机组6的运行方向	0	1
14	SP	行人行走速率(m/s)	1.60	1.20
15	NI	进站口的数量(个)	3	1
16	NO	出站口的数量(个)	3	1

参数	*d_i*	ω	β	q
取值范围	[60,140]	[2，7]	(0,1)	(0,1)
环境感染率	[13.67%，34.19%]

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Infection Risk Control of Pedestrians in Subway Stations under Epidemic of Respiratory Infectious Diseases

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