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Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2014, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (9): 49-56.

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The Effect of Investor Sentiment on Return and Volatility of Stock Market—Based on Empirical Study of Net Flow of Open-end Equity Funds

WANG Chun1,2   

  1. 1. Finance School of Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing 211815, China;
    2. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Financial Engineering of Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing 211815, China
  • Received:2012-07-06 Revised:2013-03-04 Online:2014-09-20 Published:2014-09-27

Abstract: Investor sentiment make a better explanation of the sharp fluctuations of the stock market based on the the investor irrationality. Domestic research analysis of the open-end equity funds based on investor sentiment is still blank. In this paper, equity mutual fund flow is used as investor sentiment, and GARCH-M model is applied to analyse the effect of investor sentiment on stock market. Results show that there is positive feedback relations between investor sentiment and stock return.And in a stock market value for classification combination, it can be found that conditional volatility of large cap portfolio becomes higher, expected return become larger; and that conditional volatility of small cap portfolio becomes higher, expected return become smaller. This study makes a contribution for the further development of the indirect indicators of investor sentiment.

Key words: investor sentiment, flow of funds, stock market.

CLC Number: