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Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2011, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (4): 167-173.

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A Study on Driving Forces of China’s Industrial Structure Optimization under the Carbon-Intensity Abatement Objective

CAI Sheng-hua1, MOU Dun-guo2, FANG Meng-xiang3   

  1. 1. Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;
    2. China Center for Energy Economics Research, Xiaman University, Xiamen 361005, China;
    3. National Key Laboratory for Clean Energy Utlization, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China
  • Received:2010-07-30 Revised:2011-06-23 Online:2011-08-30 Published:2011-08-30

Abstract: This paper is based on two theoretical:one is industrial structure evolves endogenously and the other is that the evolution of consumption structure has regular relationship with families incomes.By empirically studying the pathway of some developed countries and analyzing the Input-output tables of China's economy,we analysis the impacts of consumption on industrial structure and forecast the evolution of industrial structure and the trend of CO2 intensity.The results show:(1) The consumption scale and its structure is one of the main driving forces for China's industrial structure upgrading.(2) In order for CO2 int ensity abatement,it is necessary to implement energy demand-side management and guide the people change to "low energy consumption,low carbon emission" life-style.

Key words: industrial structure optimization, carbon intensity, input-output analysis

CLC Number: