主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2015, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (5): 32-40.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2015.05.005

• Articles • Previous Articles     Next Articles

A Unified Model of Momentum and Reversal in Stock Markets Based on Attention Contagion Mechanism

PENG Die-feng, RAO Yu-lei, LEI Xiang-yuan   

  1. Business school, Central South University, Changsha 410083, China
  • Received:2013-05-13 Revised:2014-01-02 Online:2015-05-20 Published:2015-05-20

Abstract: Low participation, irrational investment, and high volatility of stock prices are considered to be typical in China stock market. According to the abovementioned stylized facts, we describe a attentional contagion mechanism underlying the inflow of new investors in a simple asset pricing model and find that that investor attention plays a dual role in the formation of asset prices. On one hand, the limited attention of investors causes the under-reaction to information and price momentum. On the other hand, the attentive investors induce the inexperienced positive-feedback investors to participate the market, which brings about return reversal. As a result, the introduction of attentional contagion mechanism explains the co-existence of momentum and reversal, which sheds light on the understanding of the seperated pricing effects of investor attention on developed and emerging stock markets around the world.

Key words: investor attention, social contagion, limited market participation, momentum, reversal

CLC Number: