中国管理科学 ›› 2023, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (5): 71-83.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2020.1520
张卫国1, 黄思颖2, 王超1
收稿日期:
2020-08-06
修回日期:
2020-09-29
出版日期:
2023-05-20
发布日期:
2023-05-23
通讯作者:
王超(1991-),男(汉族),陕西商洛人,华南理工大学工商管理学院,博士后,研究方向:金融工程与风险管理,Email:ccwang@scut.edu.cn.
E-mail:ccwang@scut.edu.cn
基金资助:
ZHANG Wei-guo1, HUANG Si-ying2, WANG Chao1
Received:
2020-08-06
Revised:
2020-09-29
Online:
2023-05-20
Published:
2023-05-23
Contact:
王超
E-mail:ccwang@scut.edu.cn
摘要: 奖励众筹融资绩效不仅受项目自身情况的影响,也与投资者行为有密切关系。本文研究了奖励众筹融资绩效与投资者投资和评论活动的动态变化关系,提出了投资曲线和评论曲线特征提取方法,并结合奖励众筹项目的投资特征、时滞评论特征以及项目自身特征,构建了奖励众筹项目融资绩效动态预测的函数主成分分析-广义回归神经网络(FPCA-GRNN)模型。基于“众筹网”交易数据进行了实证分析,结果表明FPCA-GRNN模型具有较好的融资绩效实时预测精度。
中图分类号:
张卫国, 黄思颖, 王超. 奖励众筹融资绩效动态预测研究——来自“众筹网”数据的实证[J]. 中国管理科学, 2023, 31(5): 71-83.
ZHANG Wei-guo, HUANG Si-ying, WANG Chao. Research on Dynamic Forecasting of Rewarding Crowdfunding Financing Performance——Empirical Analyses from “Crowdfunding Network” Data[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2023, 31(5): 71-83.
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