For the complex decision-making issue, it often could be expressed by a new network structure of analytic network process(ANP) with benefits, opportunities, costs and risks(BOCR) merits, which is called conventional ANP-BOCR structure. However, the structure has the following disadvantages. First, the dependence relation among criteria(criteria cluster) lying different BOCR sub-network is ignored. Second, in opportunities and risks sub-network, the dynamic characteristics of the system elements(i.e., system elements and their priorities could with vary with different expected time) cannot be reflected scientifically. Third, the determination way for criteria(criteria cluster) in the network structure of conventional ANP-BOCR is preformed poor due to lacking of well scientificity. To overcome drawbacks abovementioned, in this paper, a novel constructing approach for spatial network structure of ANP-BOCR is given based on decision making trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL) and dynamic decision idea. Compared with exiting ANP-BOCR structure, the new approach breaks the limit of strict structure system consisting of fixed alternatives and criteria, and gives a dynamic decision structure under spatial dimension framework. Furthermore, the DEMATEL is applied to determine the key criteria, which shows well stringency. Finally, based on real case data, the new method is validated to be reliable by contrasting to the conventional ANP-BOCR structure of current case, and it builds a foundation for further research on improving the alternative synthesis method for BOCR weights.
SUN Yong-he, DUAN Wan-chun, LI Ya-qun, XIE Hui
. A Construction Method of Spatial Network of ANP-BOCR for Complex Systems[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2016
, 24(2)
: 144
-152
.
DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2016.02.018
[1] Saaty T L. Fundamentals of the analytic network process-multiple networks with benefits, costs, opportunities and risks[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 2004, 13(3):348-379.
[2] Ergu D, Peng Yi. A framework for SaaS software packages evaluation and selection with virtual team and BOCR of analytic network process[J]. The Journal of Supercomputing, 2014, 67(1):219-238.
[3] Erginel N, Senturk S, Binici Y. The use of ANP method based on BOCR criteria for 3PL provider selection[J]. Anadolu University Journal of Science and Technology-B Theoretical Sciences, 2014, 3(1):33-44.
[4] Wang Weiming, Lee A H I, Peng Lipei, et al.An integrated decision making model for district revitalization and regeneration project selection[J]. Decision Support Systems, 2013, 54(2):1092-1103.
[5] Liang Chao, Li Qing.Enterprise information system project selection with regard to BOCR[J]. International Journal of Project Management, 2008, 26(8):810-820.
[6] Ghajar I, Najafi A.Evaluation of harvesting methods for sustainable forest management(SFM) using the Analytical Network Process(ANP)[J]. Forest Policy and Economics, 2012, 21:81-91.
[7] Heo E, Kim J, Cho S.Selecting hydrogen production methods using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process with opportunities, costs, and risks[J]. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2012, 37(23):17655-17662.
[8] Wijnmalen D J D.Analysis of benefits, opportunities, costs, and risks(BOCR) with the AHP-ANP:A critical validation[J]. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 2007, 46(7-8):892-905.
[9] Sun Yonghe, Duan Wanchun, Du Yanwei, et al. A novel synthesizing method of alternative priorities for benefits, opportunities, costs and risks with the analytic hierarchy and network processes[J]. Journal of Convergence Information Technology, 2013, 8(10):896-904.
[10] 李春好, 孙永河, 段万春. 基于DEA理论的ANP/BOCR方案评价值综合集成新方法[J]. 中国管理科学, 2010, 18(2):55-61.
[11] Bouzarour-Amokrane Y, Tchangani A, Peres F. Defining and measuring risk and opportunity in BOCR framework for decision analysis//Proleedings of the 10th International Conference of Modeling and Simulation,Jne 6-8,2012 Bordeaux, France.
[12] Benlian A,Hess T. Opportunities and risks of software-as-a-service:Findings from a survey of IT executives[J]. Decision Support Systems, 2011, 52(1):232-246.
[13] Saaty T L, Shih H S.Structures in decision making:On the subjective geometry of hierarchies and networks[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 2009, 199(3):867-872.
[14] Ou Yang Yupeng, Shieh H M, Tzeng G H.A VIKOR technique based on DEMATEL and ANP for information security risk control assessment[J]. Information Sciences, 2013, 232:482-500.
[15] Wu Weiwen. Segmenting critical factors for successful knowledge management implementation using the fuzzy DEMATEL method[J]. Applied Soft Computing, 2012,12(1):527-535.
[16] Shieh J I, Wu H H, Huang Kuankai. A DEMATEL method in identifying key success factors of hospital service quality[J]. Knowledge-Based Systems, 2010, 23(3):277-282.
[17] Campanella G, Ribeiro R A. A framework for dynamic multiple-criteria decision making[J]. Decision Support Systems, 2011, 52(1):52-60.