主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

Chinese Journal of Management Science

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Evaluation Credit Risk of an Enterprise Group’s Parent Company in View of Compound Option Basket Option and Ownerships

CHEN Lin1, ZHOU Zong-fang1, Gu Jing2   

  1. 1. School of management and economics, University of Electronic Science & Technology of China, Chengdu 610054, China;
    2. School of economics, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, China
  • Received:2010-11-29 Revised:2011-07-30 Online:2011-10-30 Published:2011-10-30

Abstract: As the major client of commercial bank,an enterprise group can take huge profit for bank,o n the other hand,it also may expose the bank to the huge cumulative credit risk.An enterprise group's credit risk is the parent company's credit risk,but parent company's credit risk also affected by subsidiary company's credit risk.According to this problem,based on the theory of compound option and basket option,this paper studies how to evaluate the parent company's credit risk,and gets a conclusion that the parent company's default probability is a function with independent variable of the subsidiary company's default probability.It can analyze the default contagion between parent and subsidiary company by this function,and the shareholding ratio is one of parameter in this function,it reflects the relationship of parent &subsidiary company.Furthermore,numerical simulation analysis showes that the shareholding ratio is an impor tan t impact factor on credit risk of parent and subsidiary company.

Key words: parent company, subsidiary company, default probability, shareholding ratio

CLC Number: