主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

中国管理科学 ›› 2024, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (4): 141-152.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2021.0007cstr: 32146.14.j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2021.0007

• • 上一篇    下一篇

“后补贴”时代考虑消费者需求异质性的新能源汽车推广政策研究

李冬冬1,商辰宣1,吕宏军2(),杨晶玉3,张岭4   

  1. 1.西北工业大学公共政策与管理学院, 陕西 西安 710072
    2.西安财经大学商学院, 陕西 西安 710100
    3.西安交通大学管理学院, 陕西 西安 710049
    4.西安工程大学管理学院, 陕西 西安 710048
  • 收稿日期:2021-01-03 修回日期:2021-07-08 出版日期:2024-04-25 发布日期:2024-04-25
  • 通讯作者: 吕宏军 E-mail:lvhongjun@stu.xjtu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(72201207);陕西省社会科学基金年度项目(2019S024);陕西省创新能力支撑计划(软科学类)项目(2021KRM171);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(G2020KY05102);西北工业大学文科交叉学科方向培育项目(21GH031118);西安财经大学科研支撑项目(2021KRM171)

Adoption of New Energy Vehicle in the Post-Subsidy Erawith Heterogeneous Consumer Demand

Dongdong Li1,Chenxuan Shang1,Hongjun Lv2(),Jingyu Yang3,Ling Zhang4   

  1. 1.School of Public Policy and Administration, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710072, China
    2.School of business, Xi'an University of Finance and Economics, Xi’an 710100, China
    3.Management School of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China
    4.School of Management, Xi’an Polytechnic University, Xi’an 710048, China
  • Received:2021-01-03 Revised:2021-07-08 Online:2024-04-25 Published:2024-04-25
  • Contact: Hongjun Lv E-mail:lvhongjun@stu.xjtu.edu.cn

摘要:

“后补贴”时代,如何设计有效的消费促进政策实现新能源汽车推广的可持续性已成为亟待解决的问题。通过构建政府-企业-消费者三方博弈模型,本文考察了消费者需求异质性情形下两类新能源汽车推广政策(价格折扣政策和绿色税政策)的效果及其差异,在此基础上讨论了政府新能源汽车最优推广政策的选择。研究结果表明:(1)价格折扣和绿色税推广政策的实施能够提高新能源汽车的需求以及新能源汽车生产企业的利润水平,具有良好的推广效果。(2)消费者需求异质性以及新能源汽车绿色度影响政府最优推广政策的选择。消费者更加偏好燃油汽车且新能源汽车绿色度较低时,最优推广政策为绿色税政策;而新能源汽车绿色度较高时,最优推广政策为价格折扣政策。当消费者更加偏好新能源汽车时,价格折扣政策的效果有限,最优推广政策为绿色税政策。(3)消费者需求异质性影响推广政策的实施力度及其效果。当消费者偏好燃油汽车时,政府政策的实施力度更大,所产生的新能源汽车需求、利润和社会福利效果更大;相反,当消费者更加偏好新能源汽车,政府所需要的激励下降,最优的绿色税及其效果也将下降。本文的研究结论对“后补贴”时代新能源汽车的推广及新能源汽车产业的转型升级具有重要意义。

关键词: 绿色税, 价格折扣政策, 新能源汽车, 消费者偏好

Abstract:

In the post-subsidy era, how to design effective policy tools to achieve the sustainability of new energy vehicle promotion has become an urgent problem. By constructing a game model of government-enterprise-consumer, this paper investigates two kinds of new energy vehicle consumption promotion policies (price discount policy and green tax policy) with heterogeneous consumer demand, and then discusses the optimal promotion policy of new energy vehicle. The results show that: (i) the implementation of price discount and green tax incentive policies can improve the demand of new energy vehicle and the profit level of new energy vehicle manufacturers and has a good promotion effect. (ii) the consumer’s basic demand preference and the green degree of new energy vehicle affect the government’s optimal incentive policy choice. The optimal incentive policy is the green tax policy when the consumers prefer the fuel vehicle and the new energy vehicle is less green; the optimal incentive policy is the price discount policy when the new energy vehicle is more green. When consumers prefer new energy vehicles, the effect of price discount policy is limited, and the optimal incentive policy is green tax policy. (iii) consumer demand heterogeneity affects the implementation of policies and its effects. When the consumer’s basic demand preference is fuel vehicles, the implementation of the policy is stronger, resulting in greater demand, profit and social welfare effects. On the contrary, as consumers become more enthusiastic about new energy vehicles, the government will need less incentive, and the optimal green tax rate and its effects will decline. The conclusion of this paper is of great significance for the promotion of new energy vehicle and the transformation and upgrading of new energy automobile industry in the post-subsidy era.

Key words: green tax, price discount policy, new energy vehicle, consumer preference

中图分类号: