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中国管理科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (12): 173-183.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2020.12.017

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

城市低碳交通体系对能源消费结构的影响研究——来自中国十四个城市的面板数据经验

张雪峰1, 宋鸽1, 闫勇2   

  1. 1. 北方工业大学经济管理学院, 北京 100144;
    2. 中国石油集团经济技术研究院, 北京 100144
  • 收稿日期:2019-07-27 修回日期:2020-03-04 出版日期:2020-12-20 发布日期:2021-01-11
  • 通讯作者: 张雪峰(1981-),男(汉族),四川万源人,北方工业大学经济管理学院经济系,副教授,博士,研究方向:数量经济学、博弈论与机制设计,E-mail:zxf511@163.com. E-mail:zxf511@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    北京市教委基本科研业务费项目(11005291813-056);北京城市治理研究中心资助项目(20XN246);北方工业大学"一带一路"国家人才培养基地项目

The Impact of Urban Low-carbon Transportation System on the Improvement of The Structure of Energy Consumption——Evidence from 14 Cities in China

ZHANG Xue-feng1, SONG Ge1, YAN Yong2   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, North China University of Technology, Beijing 100144, China;
    2. CNPC Economics & Technology Research Institute, Beijing 100144, China
  • Received:2019-07-27 Revised:2020-03-04 Online:2020-12-20 Published:2021-01-11

摘要: 节能减排的重要性已成为国际社会的共识,我国也积极改善城市公共交通体系来控制碳排放。本文搜集了中国十四个城市近10年的面板数据,构建随机效应变系数模型,研究了城市低碳交通体系发展对能源消费结构的影响,研究发现:政府可以利用公共交通定价策略影响消费者偏好,从而实现能源消费结构的优化;城市低碳交通体系中轨道交通对能源消费结构优化有显著性促进作用;公共汽(电)车对能源消费结构的影响会随城市发展程度增加而降低;交通部门可通过限行、限购及加收停车费等方式提高传统汽车购买及出行成本,影响私人汽车保有量,从而减少能源消费结构优化的阻碍。政府应该加大财政补贴力度,补贴由购置补贴转向研发和运营基础设施补贴,改善轨道交通及合理的公共汽(电)车运营体系,提高新能源汽车研发投入,鼓励高能量密度低电耗技术的发展,提高居民对新能源乘用车的需求,优化能源消费结构。

关键词: 低碳交通体系, 能源消费结构, 公共交通, 新能源汽车

Abstract: In order to achieve the international goal of energy conservation and carbon reduction, China has actively improved the urban public transport system to control carbon emissions. The urban low-carbon transport system development's influence on the energy consumption structure was discussed by this essay. A random effect variable coefficient model that contains 14 Chinese city's panel data from 2006 to 2016 has been built. It is found that the government can change the demand structure of residents' transportation through public transportation pricing, so as to optimize the energy consumption structure. In urban low-carbon transportation system, railway system plays an improved role in optimizing energy consumption structure. The increase in private car ownership will hinder the optimization of energy consumption structure. The impact of bus on energy consumption structure will vary with the degree of urban development. Improving the urban low-carbon transportation system can optimize the energy consumption structure. The government should expand the fiscal expenditure, improve railway system and make reasonable bus (electric) operation system. In addition, appropriate restrictions should be put on the purchase of private cars with fuel. Meanwhile, preferential policies for public transport and new energy vehicles should be improved.

Key words: low-carbon transport system, energy consumption structure, public transport, new energy vehicles

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