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中国管理科学 ›› 2020, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (6): 13-23.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2018.1455

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

信息不对称下逆周期缓冲资本对银行投融资的影响

赵志明, 王姚, 舒建平   

  1. 湘潭大学商学院, 湖南 湘潭 411105
  • 收稿日期:2018-10-12 修回日期:2020-03-04 出版日期:2020-06-20 发布日期:2020-06-29
  • 作者简介:赵志明(1985-),男(汉族),湖南衡阳人,湘潭大学商学院,金融系讲师,硕士生导师,金融学博士,研究方向:金融工程、数量金融与风险管理,E-mail:zmzhao@xtu.edu.cn.
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71801185);湖南省自然科学基金资助项目(2019JJ50610)

The Impact of Countercyclical Contingent Capital on Investment and Financing Decision under Asymmetric Information

ZHAO Zhi-ming, WANG Yao, SHU Jian-ping   

  1. Business School, Xiangtan University, Xiangtan 411105, China
  • Received:2018-10-12 Revised:2020-03-04 Online:2020-06-20 Published:2020-06-29

摘要: 本文将信息不对称引入到包含逆周期缓冲资本的分析框架,应用不完全信息条件下的信号传递理论,建立动态博弈模型,计算证券的风险中性价格,给出银行应用投资水平传递类型信号的单交叉条件,并研究了逆周期缓冲资本对银行投融资决策的影响。数值分析表明:逆周期缓冲资本能显著降低投资者的逆向选择成本,缓解银行投资扭曲程度,提升银行运营稳健性并导致银行提前投资。更为重要的是,只要设计合适的转股率,逆周期缓冲资本可以完全消除逆向选择成本。同时,结果进一步表明低成本银行更倾向于发行逆周期缓冲资本。

关键词: 信息不对称, 逆周期缓冲资本, 投融资, 信号传递

Abstract: Countercyclical contingent capital (CCC) is a financial innovation product proposed and gradually implemented in 2009 in response to the financial crisis. It is widely used in Asian and European countries, and theoretical research on this product is also in the ascendant. At the same time, it is noticed that domestic issuers are mostly small and medium-sized Banks with inadequate information disclosure and supervision, which leads to the weak applicability of existing research results on CCC to domestic institutions. Thus, it is of theoretical and practical significance to introduce information asymmetry into countercyclical contingent capital. So in order to gain an insight into the impact of countercyclical contingent capital on investment and financing decision under asymmetric information, a dynamic game model of corporate investment and financing decisions with CCC is developed by using real options signaling model under asymmetric information. Firstly, the risk-neutral pricing of banks’ securities are calculated under full information benchmark in which all outside investors have full information about the banks’ investment projects. In addition, to illustrate the characteristics of CCC, straight bonds for comparison are introduced. In this paper, the difference between CCC and straight bonds is that once the investment threshold is lower than the regulatory requirements, CCC will convert into the equity of β times (i.e. conversion rate). Before analyzing the effects of asymmetric information on equilibrium investment strategies, it starts by proving single-crossing condition under which banks with low operating cost send signals through the investment threshold is feasible. Then, the corresponding investment threshold and the least cost separating equilibrium is given by the incentive compatibility constraint. Using this result, it is show that asymmetric information leads to adverse selection cost and abnormal return for low-cost banks. Finally, the general rules of the influence mechanisms of each risk factor are obtained by simulation. The simulation results show that CCC induces banks to implement the project earlier than straight bonds, reduces investment distortions caused by asymmetric information, decreases the cost of adverse selection, lower the fluctuation degree of public belief about banks’ quality. More importantly, CCC can eliminate the cost of adverse selection by designing an appropriate conversion rate. At the same time, the results indicate that low-cost banks are more inclined to issue CCC.

Key words: asymmetric information, countercyclical contingent capital, investment and financing, signaling

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