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中国管理科学 ›› 2008, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (3): 8-15.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国股票市场多标度幂律特征和临界现象

陈收, 杨宏林, 李双飞   

  1. 湖南大学工商管理学院, 湖南长沙410082
  • 收稿日期:2006-12-27 修回日期:2008-05-04 出版日期:2008-06-30 发布日期:2008-06-30
  • 作者简介:陈收(1956- ),男(汉族),广东龙川人,湖南大学工商管理学院教授,博士,博士研究生导师,研究方向:投资决策与风险管理.
  • 基金资助:

    国家社会科学基金(05BJY010,07BJY001)

Multiscale Power-Law Properties and Criticality of Chinese Stock Market

CHEN Shou, YANG Houg-lin, LI Shuang-fei   

  1. School of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China
  • Received:2006-12-27 Revised:2008-05-04 Online:2008-06-30 Published:2008-06-30

摘要: 本文对上海证券交易所综合股价指数(SSECI)收益率多标度条件下的分布特征和临界现象的研究发现,收益率分布的中心部分服从Lévy分布,尾部近似对称分布,依幂律衰减,负尾的衰减略高于正尾,整体衰减远超出Lévy律0<α<2的范围,也高于成熟市场α≈3的水平。此外,上证综指收益率在多标度条件下还表现出临界现象,在标度△t>4days时渐进收敛于正态分布,成熟市场△t≈4days的临界值对中国市场具有普适性。

关键词: 多标度, 幂律特征, 临界现象, 股票市场

Abstract: Motivated by the goal of discovering more accurate characteristics of Chinese stock market,this paper investigates the powerlaw properties and criticality of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Compound Index (SSEECI) with two benchmarks of 5-min and 1-day database.We find that the center profile of returns distribution is well described by the Lévy regime and,more important,that the approximately syrmnetric tails of distribution are characterized by another power-law regime with an exponent well out of the Lévy range 0< a <2 and also beyond the exponent α≈3 of fully developed markets.Moreover,we also show that returns appear to exhibit the criticality.When timescale △t>4 days,the distribution exhibits the slow convergence to normal Gaussian behavior.The phenomena support that the critical timescale △t≈4days of fully developed markets is universal for Chinese stock market.

Key words: multiscale, powerlaw property, criticality, stock market

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