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中国管理科学 ›› 2024, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (10): 224-233.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2021.1666cstr: 32146.14.j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2021.1666

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基于策略消费者行为的动态定价与降价时机选择

蔺康康1,刘新民1(),王垒2   

  1. 1.青岛农业大学经济管理学院, 山东 青岛 266109
    2.中国海洋大学经济学院, 山东 青岛 266100
  • 收稿日期:2021-08-21 修回日期:2022-07-07 出版日期:2024-10-25 发布日期:2024-11-09
  • 通讯作者: 刘新民 E-mail:liu-xinmin@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(M2442008);山东省人文社会科学课题(重大财经)(2023-zkzd-009);山东省高等学校青创科技支持计划(1124011);山东省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(2024ZSMS119);青岛农业大学新农村发展研究院(乡村振兴研究院)项目(1122007);青岛市社会科学规划研究项目(QDSKL2301183)

Dynamic Pricing and Markdown Timing in the Presence of Strategic Customer Behavior

Kangkang Lin1,Xinmin Liu1(),Lei Wang2   

  1. 1.College of Economics and Management, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao 266109, China
    2.School of Economics, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China
  • Received:2021-08-21 Revised:2022-07-07 Online:2024-10-25 Published:2024-11-09
  • Contact: Xinmin Liu E-mail:liu-xinmin@163.com

摘要:

策略消费者的存在给零售商的定价决策带来了严峻挑战,消费者可以选择通过推迟购买从而以更低的价格获得产品。考虑到消费者策略行为的影响,构建连续时间下的消费者购买决策模型,分析了零售商两阶段定价与降价时机的最优决策,进一步讨论库存剩余与库存短缺两种情境下零售商的降价时机选择。研究结果表明:(1)零售商利润与两阶段产品定价呈倒U型关系,且存在唯一的价格组合使得零售商利润达到最大;(2)正常销售阶段价格的提高会刺激消费者选择等待购买,降价销售阶段的价格提高会削弱消费者等待购买的耐心;(3)零售商在不同情境下可以通过选择推迟或者提前降价时机实现帕累托改进;(4)考虑库存剩余与库存短缺两种情境,零售商可以通过动态调整降价时点平衡库存,在承担一定成本的情况下解决产品供需匹配问题,甚至是实现零库存或者满足所有潜在消费者的需求。

关键词: 策略消费者, 降价时机, 定价策略, 库存管理, 帕累托改进

Abstract:

In order to gain competitive advantage in the fierce market environment, retailers often adopt markdown strategy to attract consumers to buy. In fact, it is the frequent price cuts by retailers that lead to the emergence of strategic consumers, posing severe challenges to their pricing decision-making. Unlike myopic consumers who only focus on current purchase utility, strategic consumers can fully obtain product price information and future price trends, and will choose the optimal purchase behavior by comparing the utility levels obtained by purchasing products in the current and future periods.The existence of strategic customers brings severe challenges to enterprises' pricing decisions. Consumers can choose to buy products at lower prices by delaying their purchases. Considering the influence of consumer's strategic behavior, a continuous time consumer purchase decision-making model is constructed, the optimal decision-making of retailer's two-stage pricing and markdown timing is analyzed, and further the retailer's markdown timing is analyzed under the situation of inventory surplus and inventory shortage.It is indicated that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between retailer's profit and two-stage product pricing, and there is a unique price combination to maximize the retailer's profit. The increase of price in the regular period will stimulate consumers to choose to wait for purchase, and the increase of price in the markdown period will weaken consumers' patience for waiting to buy. In different situations, retailers can choose to postpone or advance the timing of markdown to achieve Pareto improvement. Considering the two scenarios of inventory surplus and inventory shortage, retailers can balance inventory by dynamically adjusting the markdown timing and meet the demand of all potential consumers under the condition of bearing a certain cost, which can solve the matching problem of product supply and demand, even achieve zero inventory or meet the needs of all potential consumers.Based on the above analyses, it is proposed that retailers need to fully grasp the behavioral laws of strategic consumers and set prices according to the needs of strategic consumers. Retailers can expand market demand by adopting markdown strategy, while training consumers to be more and more patient, it is necessary to take into account the inventory situation and determine the optimal markdown timing and two-period price. It can provide some meaningful reference for relevant studies and firms in practice.

Key words: strategic consumer, markdown timing, pricing strategy, inventory management, Pareto improvement

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