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中国管理科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (7): 241-251.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2019.1431

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于资源流网络优化的Max-npv项目调度

梁洋洋1, 王田2, 崔南方3   

  1. 1.湖北经济学院工商管理学院,湖北物流发展研究中心,湖北 武汉430205;2.中南财经政法大学工商管理学院,湖北 武汉430073;3.华中科技大学管理学院,湖北 武汉430074
  • 收稿日期:2019-09-22 修回日期:2019-12-17 出版日期:2022-08-05 发布日期:2022-08-05
  • 通讯作者: 王田(1987-),男(汉族),河南商丘人,中南财经政法大学工商管理学院,讲师,博士,研究方向:智能化环境中的运营管理、项目管理,Email:wangtian3261@gmail.com. E-mail:wangtian3261@gmail.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71901091,72171232,71701073);湖北省技术创新专项软科学研究项目(2019ADC042)

Max-NPV Project Scheduling Based on Optimizing the Resource Flow Network

LIANG Yang-yang1, WANG Tian2, CUI Nan-fang3   

  1. 1. School of Business Administration, Hubei University of Economics, Research Center of Hubei Logistics Development, Wuhan 430205, China;2. School of Business Administration, Zhongnan University of Economics and Laws, Wuhan 430073, China; 3. School of Management, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
  • Received:2019-09-22 Revised:2019-12-17 Online:2022-08-05 Published:2022-08-05
  • Contact: 王田 E-mail:wangtian3261@gmail.com

摘要: 活动拖期通过资源流网络的传递会严重影响项目的净现值收益。针对该问题,本文首先在确定性环境下采用模拟退火算法(SA)构建了Max-NPV(Maximize the Net Present Value)非鲁棒性基准调度计划,然后考虑到活动工期的不确定性,设计了MEPC(Minimize Expected Penalty Cost)资源流网络优化算法,通过鲁棒性资源分配实现净现值期望惩罚成本最小化。大规模仿真对比实验结果表明,在活动工期低、中、高三种不确定性程度下,相对于采用随机资源分配算法(SA+RRAS)构建的非鲁棒性调度计划,SA+MEPC算法构建的鲁棒性调度计划在项目净现值实际收益、调度计划的“解”鲁棒性和“质”鲁棒性三个方面都取得了更好的结果,并且应对活动拖期风险的能力也更强。

关键词: 活动拖期;资源流网络;净现值;期望惩罚成本

Abstract: The Max-NPV problem is a new branch of the resource-constrained project scheduling problem (RCPSP), in which numerous models and algorithms for generating a workable baseline schedule (BS) have been advocated by various authors in a static and deterministic environment. During execution, however, a practical project is subject to high levels of uncertainty. As a result, one or more project activities may take more time than anticipated in the BS. Moreover, those activity delays can propagate throughout the resource flow network due to the constraints of both strictly technological precedence relations and resource-driven precedence relations, resulting in a kind of snowball effect and incurring great impacts on the expected project NPV especially for capital-intensive IT and construction projects. Therefore, it is crucial and practical to generate a stable baseline schedule to ensure that the realized payment time of cash flows occurs as closely as possible to its original plan in a stochastic environment.

Key words: activity delay; resource flow network; net present value; expected penalty cost

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