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中国管理科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 136-142.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2019.1248

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

考虑消费者参照效应与策略行为的多产品动态定价

刘海英1, 毕文杰2   

  1. 1.湖南财政经济学院会计学院,湖南 长沙410205; 2.中南大学商学院,湖南 长沙410083
  • 收稿日期:2019-08-21 修回日期:2020-01-21 出版日期:2022-01-20 发布日期:2022-01-29
  • 通讯作者: 毕文杰(1972-),男(汉族),湖南常德人,中南大学商学院,教授,研究方向:收益管理,Email:beenjoy@126.com. E-mail:beenjoy@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71871231,91646115,71991465);教育部人文社科基金资助项目(21YJAZH051);湖南省自然科学基金资助项目(2018JJ3012)

Optimal Dynamic Pricing for Multi-products with Consumers’ Reference Effects and Strategic Behavior

LIU Hai-ying1, BI Wen-jie2   

  1. 1. Accounting School, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, 410205, China;2. Business School, Central South University, Changsha, 410083, China
  • Received:2019-08-21 Revised:2020-01-21 Online:2022-01-20 Published:2022-01-29
  • Contact: 毕文杰 E-mail:beenjoy@126.com

摘要: 在考虑客户同时表现出参照依赖和策略行为的场景下,本文构建了一个垄断厂商两阶段的多产品动态定价模型。该模型将易逝品的销售分为正常价格阶段和促销价格阶段,每个阶段又分为多期。客户分为短视型和策略型,其中策略型客户会根据两个阶段价格的差异和获得商品的概率,决定是在第一阶段和等到第二阶段购买商品。基于随机动态规划的结构属性和超模理论,得到了两个阶段稳态价格的解析解,并且证明最优价格路径是单调且随着初始参照价格变化而变化。最后,通过对两种产品的数值实验,分析了各种参数对最优稳态价格的影响。结果显示,零售商可以采取多产品联合定价策略,即基于商店水平的定价策略,并通过调整核心产品的比重来获得更高的利润。

关键词: 动态定价, 多产品定价, 参照依赖, 策略性顾客行为

Abstract: Perishable or seasonal products generally have a normal price at the beginning stage and a significantly reduced or discounted price toward the ending stage. Therefore, the strategic consumers will have a choice - either to buy in the first stage for fresh products or wait to purchase the products at a discounted price in the second stage. In this paper, the multi-product dynamic pricing is taken into account the reference effect and the strategic consumers. Due to the presence of the reference effect, the consumers’ utility function is a combination of the direct utility and the reference utility. On the other hand, the strategic consumers will choose between buying at the first stage or wait to buy at the second stage. This behavior will change the demand functions of the two stages. At the same time, the reference price is at store-level and it is being updated along with the change of the period by an exponential smoothing model. The price level of the whole store and the product’s historical price will influence the current demand. Therefore, a two-stage multi-period dynamic pricing model is built for multi-product. Based on supermodularity and complementarity theory, an analytical solution is derived for the steady state prices, and the properties of the optimal price path are revealed. The monotonic convergence property of the steady state price suggests that when the initial reference price is higher or lower than steady state reference price, the optimal pricing strategy is similar to skimming pricing strategy (i.e., penetration pricing strategy).

Key words: dynamic pricing, multi-product pricing, reference-dependence, strategic customer behavior

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