主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

中国管理科学 ›› 2016, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (9): 64-70.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2016.09.008

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于冲突图模型策略优先权排序法的强度偏好排序研究

侯宇航, 徐海燕   

  1. 南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院, 南京 211106
  • 收稿日期:2014-07-12 修回日期:2014-12-30 出版日期:2016-09-20 发布日期:2016-09-30
  • 通讯作者: 侯宇航(1991-),男(汉族),安徽淮北人,南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,硕士生,研究方向:冲突分析,E-mail:596811629@qq.com. E-mail:596811629@qq.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金资助项目(71471087);江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2012ZDIXM014)

Research on Option Prioritization for Strength of Preference Based on the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution

HOU Yu-hang, XU Hai-yan   

  1. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
  • Received:2014-07-12 Revised:2014-12-30 Online:2016-09-20 Published:2016-09-30

摘要: 冲突分析图模型中强度偏好的引入增加了决策者的感情色彩,进一步丰富了决策者的偏好信息。在强度偏好下运用冲突分析图模型理论对冲突进行建模时,有一个非常重要的问题——强度偏好的排序。本研究首先将简单偏好下的策略优先权排序法扩展到强度偏好;然后以"兰州水污染事件"为例,在兰州威立雅水务公司、地方政府和中石化兰州分公司存在强度偏好的情况下,运用扩展后的策略优先权排序法求取各决策者的强度偏好序列,并对此次水污染事件引发的冲突进行建模、分析,模拟了冲突事件中的谈判和协商过程,求得冲突各方的均衡解,案例分析过程也从战略层面为我国实现经济的可持续发展提供借鉴。

关键词: 冲突分析图模型, 强度偏好, 策略优先权排序法, "兰州水污染事件"

Abstract: Strength of preference is incorporated into the graph model for conflict resolution (GMCR) to enhance intensity of relative preference. It is very important to obtain a ranking of strength of preference based on option prioritization for modeling module. The option prioritization approach for simple preference is extended to strength of preference in this paper. The proposed approach is employed to the "Water Pollution Conflict in Lanzhou" in which there are three decision makers with strength of preference. The conflict model is established and then the process of this conflict's negotiations and consultations is simulated. Finally, the equilibria of this model are obtained using the decision support system based on GMCR. The results from this research provide a valuable view for the sustainable development of China's economy.

Key words: graph model for conflict resolution, strength of preference, option prioritizing, Water Pollution Conflict in Lanzhou

中图分类号: