突发事件下的医院应急群决策模型研究*

doi:10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2019.0537

中国管理科学 ›› 2022, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (6): 254-262.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2019.0537cstr: 32146.14.j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2019.0537

突发事件下的医院应急群决策模型研究*

万志远, 刘勤明, 叶春明, 刘文溢

上海理工大学管理学院，上海200093

收稿日期:2019-04-16 修回日期:2020-01-21 出版日期:2022-06-20 发布日期:2022-06-24
通讯作者: 刘勤明(1984-)，男(汉族)，山东日照人，上海理工大学管理学院，副教授，博士，研究方向：维护调度、人工智能等，Email：lqm0531@163.com. E-mail:lqm0531@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71840003，71632008)；教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助项目(20YJAZH068)；上海理工大学科技发展项目(2020KJFZ038)

Research on Hospital Emergency Group Decision Model under Unexpected Events

WAN Zhi-yuan, LIU Qin-ming, YE Chun-ming, LIU Wen-yi

Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China

Received:2019-04-16 Revised:2020-01-21 Online:2022-06-20 Published:2022-06-24
Contact: 刘勤明 E-mail:lqm0531@163.com

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对突发事件下的医院应急管理问题，进行了医院应急群决策模型研究。考虑到医院应急决策者心理行为特征的偏向性，将病人应急方案的选择设计成一个以医院决策者信息与病人集结信息之间距离最小为目标的非线性规划模型。根据病人的伤重程度和应急资源使用度的损益值，获得医院应急情景下的综合价值，根据累积前景理论，通过计算区间概率，获得医院应急情景下不同应急方式的累积前景值。使用模拟植物生长算法求解，莸得病人的最优集结信息。案例分析表明，该决策过程可以使得突发事件下医院应急管理方案达到最优。

关键词: 突发事件；应急群决策；心理行为；累积前景理论；模拟植物生长算法

Abstract: Hospital emergency management in emergencies is becoming increasingly important. Aiming at the risk of emergencies and the uncertainty of context evolution, the psychological behavior characteristics of hospital emergency decision makers are considered in the process of decision analysis. A hospital emergency decision model based on cumulative outlook theory is proposed in this paper.

Key words: emergencies; emergency group decision-making; psychological behavior; cumulative prospect theory; simulated plant growth algorithm

中图分类号:

C934

万志远,刘勤明,叶春明, 等. 突发事件下的医院应急群决策模型研究*[J]. 中国管理科学, 2022, 30(6): 254-262.

WAN Zhi-yuan,LIU Qin-ming,YE Chun-ming, et al. Research on Hospital Emergency Group Decision Model under Unexpected Events[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2022, 30(6): 254-262.

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突发事件下的医院应急群决策模型研究*

Research on Hospital Emergency Group Decision Model under Unexpected Events

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