主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

中国管理科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6): 66-76.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.0126cstr: 32146.14.j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2024.0126

• • 上一篇    下一篇

节点中断下考虑风险公平的危化品运输网络优化

刘丽萍1,2, 王蕊1, 孙时磊1, 甘晓凤1, 范体军1,2()   

  1. 1.华东理工大学商学院,上海 200237
    2.华东理工大学运营与供应链管理研究中心,上海 200237
  • 收稿日期:2024-01-23 修回日期:2025-04-07 出版日期:2026-06-25 发布日期:2026-05-22
  • 通讯作者: 范体军 E-mail:tjfan@ecust.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(72442009);国家自然科学基金项目(72032001);国家自然科学基金项目(72074076);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(21YJA630057)

Transportation Network Optimization of Hazardous Chemicals Considering Risk Equity under Depot Disruptions

Liping Liu1,2, Rui Wang1, Shilei Sun1, Xiaofeng Gan1, Tijun Fan1,2()   

  1. 1.School of Business,East China University of Science and Technology,Shanghai 200237,China
    2.Research Center of Operations and Supply Chain Management,East China University of Science and Technology,Shanghai 200237,China
  • Received:2024-01-23 Revised:2025-04-07 Online:2026-06-25 Published:2026-05-22
  • Contact: Tijun Fan E-mail:tjfan@ecust.edu.cn

摘要:

危化品事故具有低概率-高风险损失的特性,风险管控非常重要。较多危化品运输研究相关文献侧重于总风险控制,较少考虑风险差异性,即风险公平,目前尚未有文献同时考虑节点中断情境与风险公平。本文深入分析了不同节点中断情境下的风险稳定性与风险公平特点。首先,在风险评估中,将仓库节点的中断风险与传统风险评估函数结合,建立考虑节点中断下的新型风险评估函数。在量化风险公平中,将节点和路径的风险与平均风险的差异量化为风险补偿系数,优化风险补偿系数作为风险公平度量函数。在此基础上,构建节点中断情境下考虑风险公平的最小化系统总风险、总成本和风险补偿的多目标运输网络优化模型,并使用蚁群-遗传混合算法求解模型,同时,还通过数值实验验证该模型和算法的有效性与必要性。最后,本文以超大城市上海市为实例进行分析,研究结果表明:将中断分为不同情境,可以更有效地分析风险公平,在此基础上提出能够同时满足政府-企业-公众三方需求的危化品运输网络优化方案。研究表明,当风险补偿成本达到一定程度后,继续追加风险补偿可以提升风险分配公平性,但同时也会导致系统总风险上升。因此,政府需要在总风险约束下权衡效率与公平,并通过适度的风险补偿机制提升风险分配公平性。

关键词: 危化品运输网络, 风险公平, 节点中断, 多目标优化, 蚁群-遗传混合算法

Abstract:

The optimization of hazardous materials (hazmat) transportation networks under depot disruption scenarios are investigated, motivated by the increasing occurrence of “low-probability, high-consequence” events such as natural disasters and facility failures. Traditional models often minimize total risk and cost but overlook two critical factors: potential depot disruptions and risk equity—the fair distribution of risk among regions and populations. These omissions limit model applicability in complex real-world environments where governmental, public, and industrial demands must be balanced.To address this gap, a multi-objective optimization model is proposed that simultaneously minimizes (1) total system risk, (2) logistics cost (including leasing, storage, and transport), and (3) risk compensation costs that penalize deviations from average risk exposure. A novel risk assessment function integrates depot disruption probabilities into both route and node-level risk. Risk equity is captured through compensation coefficients that quantify disparities and encourage balanced risk allocation.To solve this complex problem, a hybrid metaheuristic algorithm combining Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) and Genetic Algorithm (GA) is deueloped, which enhances solution quality and convergence speed under various disruption scenarios.A real-world case study of Shanghai’s road hazmat network—with 5 candidate depots and 20 customers—is used to validate the model. Parameter values are calibrated using government and industry data. Results show that considering depot disruptions significantly alters warehouse selection and routing strategies, leading to reduced system risk and improved network resilience. The hybrid algorithm outperforms standalone ACO and GA in all key objectives.Sensitivity analysis further reveals that (1) higher compensation improves equity but may increase total risk; (2) expanding depot capacity reduces the number of active depots, raising both risk and inequality; and (3) ignoring depot disruptions may significantly increase systemic risk. It enriches the theoretical framework of risk assessment and equity under uncertainty and offers a practical decision-support tool for designing safer, fairer, and more resilient hazmat logistics systems in this study.

Key words: hazardous chemical transportation network, risk equity, depot disruption, multi-objective optimization, hybrid ant colony -genetic algorithm

中图分类号: