主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

中国管理科学 ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (9): 227-235.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.0071

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互联网平台“杀熟”三阶段演进路径及应对策略分析

李明琨(), 崔争妍, 梁甜   

  1. 上海大学管理学院,上海 200444
  • 收稿日期:2023-01-12 修回日期:2023-02-21 出版日期:2025-09-25 发布日期:2025-09-29
  • 通讯作者: 李明琨 E-mail:limingkun@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    上海市高校智库内涵建设战略研究项目(01)

Analysis and Countermeasures of Three-stage Evolution Path onBig Data Affinityof Internet Platforms

Mingkun Li(), Zhengyan Cui, Tian Liang   

  1. School of Management,Shanghai University,Shanghai 200444,China
  • Received:2023-01-12 Revised:2023-02-21 Online:2025-09-25 Published:2025-09-29
  • Contact: Mingkun Li E-mail:limingkun@126.com

摘要:

互联网平台通过烧钱引流、习惯培养、价值变现的“杀熟”三阶段演进路径寻求成功。打破平台路径依赖,推进反垄断治理已成为当前社会的重点关注议题。本研究利用Salop圆形模型,推演平台在三阶段演进路径中的市场竞争状况并通过均衡解分析发现:烧钱引流是平台获取市场份额的重要手段,且随价格敏感系数的增大而增大,但需承受盈利锐减的代价;用户的抢夺会使市场中所有平台承受压力;市场中平台数量越多,其市场份额与利润受用户转移成本的影响越大,越不利于平台垄断和实施“杀熟”行为。由此可见,越及时发现并破除路径依赖行为,越有助于推进平台反垄断治理,具体策略包括设置市场价格异常变化大数据监控、增加市场信息透明度、减少用户转移成本,以及加大对后进平台的资金投入与创新扶持等。

关键词: 平台经济, 反垄断, 路径依赖, Salop圆形模型

Abstract:

Internet platforms have formed an evolutionary path of “Big Data Affinity” and relying on it to seek success. The path implies a three-stage method which includes cash-burning for clout, cultivating habits and access to revenue. It brings a key concern on how to break the path dependence and promoting anti-monopoly governance. In this paper, the Salop circular model is introduced to deduce the market competition of platforms in the three-stage evolutionary path. And the impact of price sensitivity factors and user transfer costs on the market share and profits of platforms is analyzed. 1) The results show that it helps platforms to gain a big market share by spending plenty of money, in particular, when the price sensitivity of customers is high. 2) The profit of the platform might decline significantly, while the competition for users puts all platforms in the market under pressure. 3) The more the number of platforms in the market, the more their market share and profits are affected by the cost of transferring users, and the less conducive they are to take the monopoly advantage and implement “Big Data Affinity”. Accordingly, it is proposed that a price monitoring platform should be set up and customers are provided with more market information and options of transferring. More investment and support should be put to latecomer platforms in order to break the path dependency.

Key words: platform economy, antitrust, path-dependence, salop model

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