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中国管理科学 ›› 2015, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (6): 49-56.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.201.06.007

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

超高频数据的日内效应调整方法研究

王维国, 佘宏俊   

  1. 东北财经大学数学与数量经济学院, 辽宁 大连 116025
  • 收稿日期:2013-10-15 修回日期:2014-03-24 出版日期:2015-06-20 发布日期:2015-07-22
  • 作者简介:王维国(1963-),男(汉族),吉林通榆人,东北财经大学数学与数量经济学院,教授,研究方向:经济计量分析、管理决策方法.
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金面上项目(71171035);辽宁省教育厅人文社会科学重点研究基地专项项目(ZJ2013039)

The Research of Intra-dayPeriodic Adjustment Based on Ultra High Frequency Data

WANG Wei-guo, SHE Hong-jun   

  1. Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
  • Received:2013-10-15 Revised:2014-03-24 Online:2015-06-20 Published:2015-07-22

摘要: 日内效应在金融高频数据研究中已被广泛证实,是一种日内周期性运动的动态效应,它影响了以微观金融指标为参数的计量模型的准确估计。基于金融超高频持续期数据,本文首先论述了日内效应调整的重要性,然后引入自适应映射(SOM)的方法对日内效应进行调整。SOM是一种基于神经网络学习的特征提取方法,能够动态识别高维数据中的结构特征,克服了静态调整方法的不足。最后通过建立基于自回归条件持续期模型(ACD)的蒙特卡罗模拟实验,比较了三种日内效应调整方法的效果。模拟结果表明SOM方法在日内效应调整中更为有效和稳定,特别适合大数据条件下的周期性结构分析。

关键词: 日内效应, 自回归条件持续期, SOM, 周期性调整

Abstract: Intra-day periodicity has been widely found in financial high frequency data study,It is a dynamic effect characterized by intra-day periodic motion and it affects the accuracy of econometric model estimation which contains intra-day financial variables. The importance of intra-day periodic adjustment is discussed firstly in this study and then introduces self-organizing maps as a intra-day periodic adjustment solution are introduced based on financial ultra high frequency duration data. The SOM method is a feature extraction on the basis of neural network learning which can recognize the dynamic feature in high-dimensional data in order to overcome the disadvantage of static periodic adjustment. Finally a monte carlo simulation through autoregressive conditional duration model is built to compare the effects of three intra-day periodic adjustment methods. The result shows that the SOM method performs more effective and stable.Therefore SOM method can be particularly suited for analysis of periodic structure in big data.

Key words: intra-day periodicity, autoregressive conditional duration model, SOM, periodic adjustment

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