中国管理科学 ›› 2026, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (3): 15-24.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.2215cstr: 32146.14.j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2023.2215
收稿日期:2023-12-28
修回日期:2024-07-06
出版日期:2026-03-25
发布日期:2026-03-06
通讯作者:
崔博洋
E-mail:cby_0528@tju.edu.cn
基金资助:
Gaofeng Zou1, Guangqun Li2, Xiong Xiong1, Boyang Cui2(
)
Received:2023-12-28
Revised:2024-07-06
Online:2026-03-25
Published:2026-03-06
Contact:
Boyang Cui
E-mail:cby_0528@tju.edu.cn
摘要:
随着资本市场的日益成熟,企业金融化趋势明显。同时,互联网和社交媒体的广泛应用使得中小股东的网络表达行为在企业金融化中发挥着愈加重要的作用。本文使用2008—2022年A股非金融企业股吧论坛发帖数据,实证检验了中小股东网络表达对企业金融化的影响。研究发现,中小股东会通过网络表达将压力传递给公司管理层,使其更倾向配置提升企业短期超额收益的金融资产,从而加剧企业金融化;此外,在面临更大业绩压力、竞争环境压力以及更弱的外部监管时,中小股东网络表达与企业金融化的正向关系更加显著。本文基于社交媒体对公司治理的视角,创新性地讨论中小股东网络表达对企业金融化的影响,对社交媒体舆论监管和企业金融化健康发展具有重要的积极意义。
中图分类号:
邹高峰,李广群,熊熊, 等. 中小股东网络表达对企业金融化的影响[J]. 中国管理科学, 2026, 34(3): 15-24.
Gaofeng Zou,Guangqun Li,Xiong Xiong, et al. Research on the Influence of Minority Shareholders′ Network Expression on Corporate Financialization[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2026, 34(3): 15-24.
表1
变量计算方法"
| 变量 | 变量定义 | 计算方法 |
|---|---|---|
| FinAss1 | 企业金融化度量1 | 企业金融资产与企业总资产的比值。其中企业金融资产包括:货币资金、交易性金融资产、持有至到期投资、投资性房地产、可供出售金融资产、长期股权投资、应收股利和应收利息 |
| FinAss2 | 企业金融化度量2 | 企业金融资产与企业总资产的比值。其中企业金融资产包括:货币资金、交易性金融资产、持有至到期投资、投资性房地产、可供出售金融资产、应收股利和应收利息 |
| logFinAss1 | 企业金融化度量3 | FinAss1的自然对数 |
| logFinAss2 | 企业金融化度量4 | FinAss2的自然对数 |
| logTpost | 发帖总量 | 某只股票每年总发帖总量的自然对数 |
| logCom | 评论量 | 某只股票每年评论量的自然对数 |
| logNegpost | 负面发帖量 | 某只股票每年负面发帖量的自然对数 |
| logRead | 阅读量 | 某只股票每年阅读量的自然对数 |
| Size | 公司规模 | 年末公司总资产的自然对数 |
| Leverage | 公司杠杆 | 总负债与总资产的比值 |
| CashFlow | 现金流比率 | 经营性现金流量净额与年末固定资产的比值 |
| Age | 上市公司时间 | 公司上市年数的自然对数 |
| Tangible | 有形资产比重 | 固定资产与总资产的比值 |
| SOE | 国有公司虚拟变量 | 国有公司为1,否则为0 |
| Duality | 是否二职兼任 | 董事长和总经理二职合一为1,否则为0 |
| Board | 董事会人数 | 董事会人数的自然对数 |
| InDrc | 独立董事的比例 | 独立董事人数与全部董事人数的比值 |
| First | 第一大股东持股 | 第一大股东的持股比例 |
| ROA | 总资产收益率 | 净收入与总资产的比值 |
| Turn | 销售周转率 | 销售收入与总资产的比率 |
| Analyst | 分析师报道 | 分析师报道数目与1之和的自然对数 |
| News | 新闻报道 | 新闻报道数目与1之和的自然对数 |
表2
描述性统计"
| 变量 | Obs. | Min | 25% | Median | Mean | 75% | Max | S.D. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FinAss1 | 31889 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.78 | 0.15 |
| FinAss2 | 31889 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.78 | 0.14 |
| logTpost | 31889 | 0.38 | 2.33 | 2.86 | 2.88 | 3.40 | 7.03 | 0.82 |
| logCom | 31889 | 0.34 | 2.67 | 3.37 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 8.55 | 1.05 |
| Size | 31889 | 17.88 | 21.29 | 22.04 | 22.26 | 22.97 | 31.04 | 1.43 |
| Leverage | 31889 | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.60 | 0.97 | 0.20 |
| CashFlow | 31889 | -1.93 | 0.04 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.49 | 0.87 | 0.08 |
| Age | 31889 | 0.69 | 1.79 | 2.40 | 2.33 | 2.89 | 3.50 | 0.65 |
| Tangible | 31889 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.97 | 0.16 |
| SOE | 31889 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.49 |
| Duality | 31889 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.17 |
| Board | 31889 | 0.00 | 2.20 | 2.30 | 2.35 | 2.48 | 3.53 | 0.27 |
| InDrc | 31889 | 0.00 | 33.33 | 37.50 | 38.88 | 44.44 | 57.14 | 9.84 |
| First | 31889 | 0.29 | 22.69 | 32.07 | 34.32 | 44.43 | 89.99 | 15.04 |
| ROA | 31889 | -0.34 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.23 | 0.06 |
表3
相关性分析"
| 变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FinAss1 | (1) | 0.90 | 0.14 | 0.18 | -0.09 | -0.25 | 0.25 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.01 | |
| FinAss2 | (2) | 0.90 | 0.13 | 0.15 | -0.14 | -0.27 | 0.26 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.02 | |
| logTpost | (3) | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.02 | -0.06 | -0.12 | -0.04 | |
| logCom | (4) | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.70 | 0.27 | 0.21 | -0.06 | 0.03 | -0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Size | (5) | -0.06 | -0.10 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.48 | 0.05 | -0.02 | 0.14 | -0.07 | |
| Leverage | (6) | -0.24 | -0.26 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.49 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.04 | -0.04 | |
| CashFlow | (7) | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.06 | -0.01 | -0.21 | 0.04 | 0.00 | |
| Tangible | (8) | -0.34 | -0.35 | -0.04 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.04 | -0.10 | 0.08 | -0.02 | |
| First | (9) | 0.00 | 0.02 | -0.11 | -0.06 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.02 | |
| InDrc | (10) | 0.01 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.14 | -0.04 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 0.03 |
表4
回归分析"
| 变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FinAss1 | FinAss1 | FinAss2 | FinAss2 | FinAss1 | FinAss1 | FinAss2 | FinAss2 | |
| logTpost | 0.024** | 0.009** | 0.010** | 0.003** | ||||
| (18.32) | (9.47) | (11.45) | (3.60) | |||||
| logCom | 0.028** | 0.009** | 0.010** | 0.004** | ||||
| (19.48) | (10.50) | (11.86) | (4.22) | |||||
| Size | -0.006** | -0.010** | -0.006** | -0.010** | ||||
| (-5.88) | (-10.36) | (-5.91) | (-10.57) | |||||
| Leverage | -0.042** | -0.034** | -0.042** | -0.034** | ||||
| (-42.48) | (-36.93) | (-42.54) | (-36.95) | |||||
| CashFlow | 0.009** | 0.009** | 0.009** | 0.009** | ||||
| (12.25) | (12.98) | (12.27) | (12.99) | |||||
| Age | 0.016** | 0.004** | 0.015** | 0.004** | ||||
| (17.67) | (12.98) | (17.42) | (5.03) | |||||
| Tangible | -0.048** | -0.039** | -0.048** | -0.039** | ||||
| (-57.00) | (-49.70) | (-57.00) | (-49.70) | |||||
| SOE | 0.010** | 0.010** | 0.010** | 0.010** | ||||
| (10.93) | (11.66) | (10.99) | (11.69) | |||||
| Duality | 0.003** | 0.002** | 0.003** | 0.003** | ||||
| (3.91) | (3.80) | (3.94) | (3.80) | |||||
| Board | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | ||||
| (0.90) | (1.20) | (0.84) | (1.18) | |||||
| InDrc | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.001 | ||||
| (0.47) | (0.813) | (0.53) | (0.84) | |||||
| First | 0.006** | 0.007** | 0.007** | 0.007** | ||||
| (8.17) | (9.16) | (8.33) | (9.26) | |||||
| ROA | 0.012** | 0.013** | 0.012** | 0.013** | ||||
| (14.11) | (16.65) | (14.18) | (16.71) | |||||
| Turn | -0.005** | 0.002* | -0.005** | 0.002* | ||||
| (-6.18) | (1.96) | (-6.07) | (2.00) | |||||
| Intercept | 0.220** | 0.270** | 0.166** | 0.209** | 0.221** | 0.261** | 0.176** | 0.206** |
| (28.86) | (39.07) | (23.42) | (32.19) | (29.23) | (37.97) | (25.02) | (31.85) | |
| Industry | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Obs. | 31889 | 31889 | 31889 | 31889 | 31889 | 31889 | 31889 | 31889 |
| R2(%) | 73.10 | 80.40 | 72.78 | 77.52 | 75.59 | 80.41 | 72.76 | 77.52 |
表5
内生性检验:工具变量法"
| 变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 第一阶段 | 第二阶段 | ||
| logTpost | FinAss1 | FinAss2 | |
| Instrumented logTpost | 0.022** | 0.024** | |
| (22.88) | (26.68) | ||
| CSI 300 dummy | 0.431** | ||
| (25.39) | |||
| Intercept | -0.92** | 0.257** | 0.202** |
| (-22.88) | (37.67) | (31.55) | |
| Control | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Obs. | 31889 | 31889 | 31889 |
| R2(%) | 45.44 | 80.66 | 78.00 |
| Correlation test | |||
| F-statistic | 204.73 | ||
| Exogenous test | |||
| Hansen J-statistic | 0.85 | 0.91 | |
表7
内生性检验:Heckman两阶段"
| Panel A. First stage regression | ||
|---|---|---|
| logTpost | ||
| Industry-average logTpost | 0.290** | |
| (15.30) | ||
| Control | Yes | |
| N | 31899 | |
| R2(%) | 64.39 | |
| Panel B. Second stage regression | ||
| (1) | (2) | |
| FinAss1 | FinAss2 | |
| logTpost | 0.009** | 0.003** |
| (8.25) | (3.48) | |
| IMR | 0.181** | 0.173** |
| (3.45) | (3.27) | |
| Intercept | 0.206** | 0.202** |
| (30.23) | (31.22) | |
| Control | Yes | Yes |
| Industry | Yes | Yes |
| Year | Yes | Yes |
| N | 31899 | 31899 |
| R2(%) | 76.43 | 75.38 |
表8
动机分析:业绩压力"
| 变量 | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 非国有企业组 | 国有企业组 | 非国有企业组 | 国有企业组 | |
| FinAss1 | FinAss1 | FinAss2 | FinAss2 | |
| logTpost | 0.011** | 0.004* | 0.006** | 0.002 |
| (9.11) | (2.34) | (5.04) | (1.94) | |
| Intercept | 0.287** | 0.261** | 0.225** | 0.200** |
| (28.63) | (27.30) | (23.47) | (22.89) | |
| Control | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Obs. | 19250 | 12639 | 19250 | 12639 |
| R2(%) | 80.15 | 78.32 | 77.47 | 77.72 |
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