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中国管理科学 ›› 2004, Vol. ›› Issue (4): 99-104.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

Logit模型在企业兼并市场绩效评价中的应用

任剑新   

  1. 中南财经政法大学现代产业经济研究中心, 湖北, 武汉, 430060
  • 收稿日期:2003-11-24 修回日期:2004-07-12 出版日期:2004-08-28 发布日期:2012-03-07
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70372060)

An Application of Logit Model in the Market Performance Evaluation of Corporate Merger

REN Jian-xin   

  1. Research Center for Modern Industrial Economy, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430060, China
  • Received:2003-11-24 Revised:2004-07-12 Online:2004-08-28 Published:2012-03-07

摘要: 本文采用后芝加哥学派对垄断的定义,设计了一个基于Logit模型的消费者需求函数,通过数值模拟的方法计算差异化产品企业兼并产生的市场绩效,最后用一组模拟数据对整个评价过程进行了检验。结果表明,一些导致市场集中度大幅上升的企业兼并,由于节约了边际成本,使兼并后企业的利润和竞争力大大提高,但并不会抬高相关市场的价格水平对消费者无害,因此不存在垄断效应。

关键词: 差异化产品, Logit模型, 市场绩效

Abstract: Adopts Post-Chicago School’s definition of monopoly,this paper designs a consumer demand function based on Logit model,computes the market performance of differentiated products firms merger by a numerical simulation approach,finally tests the whole evaluation process by a group of simulated data.The result shows that merger which induces concentration soaring wouldn’t raise price level,meanwhile, sharply increases post-merger firm’s profit and competitiveness for the reason of marginal cost reduction.Consequently,such merger is harmless to consumer and doesn’t give rise to monopolistic effects.

Key words: differentiated products, Logit model, market performance

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