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中国管理科学 ›› 2004, Vol. ›› Issue (1): 110-116.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

群体行为集成化知识描述与定性模拟研究

胡斌, 夏功成   

  1. 华中科技大学管理学院, 武汉, 430074
  • 收稿日期:2003-07-11 修回日期:2003-11-28 出版日期:2004-02-28 发布日期:2012-03-07
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(70271029)

Study on Integrated Knowledge Description and Qualitative Simulation Method for Group Behavior

HU Bin, XIA Gong-cheng   

  1. Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China
  • Received:2003-07-11 Revised:2003-11-28 Online:2004-02-28 Published:2012-03-07

摘要: 针对群体行为变化过程的定性模拟问题,利用定性因果推理和QSIM算法的思路,研究了与人群行为有关的知识描述方法,包括对外部环境、内部文化环境、管理措施、人群内各要素状态、各要素相互关系的描述。然后设计了定性模拟的规则和算法步骤。将上述方法用于一个群体行为变化实例的模拟,模拟结果表明,本文所提出的方法能够较好地解决复杂管理系统的定性模拟问题,所得结果符合实际情况和相关的组织行为理论。

关键词: 群体行为, 定性因果推理, QSIM算法, 定性知识描述

Abstract: For the qualitative simulation problem on group behavior change process,the qualitative causal order and QSIM are integrated to study the knowledge description method of group behavior change,which covers description of exterior environment,management scenario,element state of group,relationship between elements and cultural environment.After that,the qualitative simulation rules and its algorithm steps are designed.From the conclusion of an application simulation,it shows that the methods set up in this paper can well solve the qualitative simulation for fuzzy management system.The simulation conclusion accords with the reality and organizational behavior theory.

Key words: group behavior, qualitative causal order, QSIM, qualitative knowledge description

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