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主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
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中国管理科学 ›› 2019, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (11): 1-10.doi: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2019.11.001

• 论文 •    下一篇

策略延迟下众筹项目的定价和激励决策

毕功兵, 杨云绅, 梁樑   

  1. 中国科学技术大学管理学院, 安徽 合肥 230026
  • 收稿日期:2018-07-02 修回日期:2019-01-27 出版日期:2019-11-20 发布日期:2019-11-28
  • 通讯作者: 毕功兵(1966-),男(汉族),安徽无为人,中国科学技术大学管理学院,教授,研究方向:社会运作管理、供应链金融和绩效管理,E-mail:bigb@ustc.edu.cn. E-mail:bigb@ustc.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上资助项目(71571174);国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(71731010)

Pricing and Incentive Decision of Crowdfunding Projects under Strategic Delay

BI Gong-bing, YANG Yun-shen, LIANG Liang   

  1. School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
  • Received:2018-07-02 Revised:2019-01-27 Online:2019-11-20 Published:2019-11-28

摘要: 本文研究了投资者的策略延迟行为对众筹项目的定价以及激励决策的影响。策略延迟是指投资者在投资过程中自动按照估值在相应阶段投资,并且部分投资者会刻意延迟投资来搭便车的行为。本文采用了一个两阶段模型来刻画投资者的投资行为,并进一步对比序列到来模式(投资者没有策略延迟)与同时到来模式(投资者有策略延迟)中的贝叶斯均衡。研究结果表明,当发起人采用价格激励的方式提高成功率时,投资者的策略延迟行为可能会影响最优的激励策略。当存在固定目标约束时,如果投资者没有策略延迟行为,发起人应该激励前期投资者,通过弥补他们等待成本的方式提高成功率;反之如果投资者出现策略延迟行为,对项目估值较高的投资者会自动在前期投资并且愿意承受更高的价格,此时发起人应该反过来激励后期投资者。当不存在目标约束时,不论投资者是否有策略延迟行为,发起人都应该始终激励前期投资者以获得更高的成功率以及期望收益。

关键词: 众筹, 策略延迟, 定价, 激励机制

Abstract: With the dramatic growth of crowdfunding industry which have provided entrepreneurs a new way of financing, more and more issues have been studied to improve the success rates of crowdfunding projects. To motivate more early investors to pledge in the project, entrepreneurs are often encouraged to motivate early investors. Inspired by practical problems, this paper considers the strategic delay behaviors of investors and their influences on the pricing and incentive strategies in crowdfunding projects.
Strategic delay behaviors make investors spontaneously invest in correspondingly period according to their valuations during the investing process. In addition, some early investors may deliberately delay their investment for free-riding because the risks and the waiting cost are both higher in the early stage of crowdfunding. The free-riding behavior will worsen the performance of projects in early stage and decrease the overall success rate.
A two-period model is adopted to depict the investing behaviors of investors and compared the Bayesian equilibriums in the sequential model (no strategic delay) with the spontaneous model (with strategic delay), respectively. To depict the crowdfunding process, I1 and I2 are used to denote the investors arriving in two periods and use δ to denote the waiting cost of early investor. Therefore, the pledging probabilities of two investors q1 and q2 are concluded,as well as the success rate S=q1×q2.The strategic behaviors in our model is considered by allowing investors to choose the entry time spontaneously. By comparing the success rates in different scenarios and adjusting the prices pi for different investors, the optimal pricing strategies in many occasions can be concluded.
Our results show that the waiting cost of early investor induces the strategic delay behaviors. Moreover,the strategic delay behaviors of investors could influence the optimal incentive decisions when entrepreneurs choose to improve success rates with price discrimination.When there exists the constraint of fixed target, if the investors can't strategic delay, the entrepreneur should motivate the early investors and improve the success rate through making up their waiting cost. In contrast, when the investors can strategic delay, investors with high valuations will spontaneously invest in the early period and are willing to take the higher price, therefore the entrepreneur should motivate the late investors instead. When there is no target constraint, the entrepreneur should motivate the early investors for higher success rate and expected profit no matter if the investors strategic delay.
In conclusion, the managerial guidance is provided for entrepreneurs on improving the projects according to the targets and the behaviors of investors. In addition, the practical value of our conclusions is tested by providing realistic examples and empirical studies, including 575 projects on one of the largest crowdfunding platforms in China. Our limitation and future goals which provide more directions and inspirations for relevant research in the future are also stated.

Key words: crowdfunding, strategic delay, pricing, incentive mechanism

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