主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院

Research on the Cooperation Model of Elevator Retrofitting Projects in Old Neighborhoods Based on PPP Model

  • Jingxin Gao ,
  • Xin Wang ,
  • Jinbo Song
Expand
  • School of Economics and Management,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China

Received date: 2021-12-03

  Revised date: 2022-06-21

  Online published: 2025-01-02

Abstract

The problem of elevator retrofitting has restricted the smooth implementation of old neighborhood renovation in China and intensified the contradiction between the aging population and the growing demands of the people for a better life. Therefore, designing a new model to solve the problem of elevator retrofitting in old neighborhoods has become an important and urgent practical problem. Firstly, the traditional model of elevator retrofitting in old neighborhoods is analyzed, and on this basis, the project cooperation model of elevator retrofitting is improved and designed in old neighborhoods and a profitability model of the project is constructed from the perspective of social capitalists. Secondly, the two profitability functions of such projects and their variation laws have been obtained through differential analysis. Finally, Monte Carlo simulation is used to simulate the profitability of the project under this model, and the applicable intervals of key parameters are obtained. The results show that: (1) the amount paid by the residents for using elevators is a key parameter to ensure the profitability of the project, which is a prerequisite for the effective participation of the social capital party in the project. (2) Payments from residents for the use of elevators and government subsidies have a great influence on the functional form of corporate income. This shows that, on the one hand, a reasonable amount of residents' payment should be formulated to provide the precondition and motivation for the social capital party to participate in the project; On the other hand, the government should adjust the amount of residents' payment and government subsidies through discussion, so as to influence the functional form of enterprise income to ensure that the old residential area elevator project will ultimately achieve the results of enterprise profitability, residents' willingness and government satisfaction.A valuable reference for solving the problem of installing elevators in old residential areas is provided. All stakeholders can re explore and reach favorable cooperation under the new model, which to some extent helps to eliminate the hidden dangers that the inability to install elevators brings to the reconstruction of old residential areas in China.

Cite this article

Jingxin Gao , Xin Wang , Jinbo Song . Research on the Cooperation Model of Elevator Retrofitting Projects in Old Neighborhoods Based on PPP Model[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2024 , 32(12) : 183 -193 . DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2021.2509

References

1 国家统计局. 经济社会发展统计图表:第七次全国人口普查东中西部和东北地区人口情况[J].求是2021(12):1.
  National Bureau of Statistics. Statistical chart of economic and social development: The seventh national census of the population of the East, Central, West and Northeast regions [J]. Seeking Truth2021(12):1.
2 胡仁禄, 周燕珉. 居住建筑设计原理[M]. 北京:中国建筑工业出版社, 2007.
  Hu R L, Zhou Y M. Principles of residential building design[M].Beijing: China Construction Industry Press, 2007.
3 裴媛媛, 张星星, 杨亚楠, 等. 老旧住宅居民加装电梯意愿分析——以郑州市为例[J]. 上海房地2019(12):42-54.
  Pei Y Y, Zhang X X, Yang Y A, et al. Analysis of residents' willingness to retrofit elevators in old houses: Zhengzhou City as an example[J]. Shanghai Real Estate2019(12):42-54.
4 郑辉烂. 广州市既有住宅加装电梯技术与经济分析[D]. 广州:华南理工大学硕士论文, 2012.
  Zheng H L. Technical and economic analysis of retrofitting elevators to existing residential buildings in Guangzhou[D]. Guangzhou: South China University of Technology, 2012.
5 王建军, 熊珍珍, 李东彬. 既有多层住宅加装电梯可行性评估研究[J]. 建筑科学202036(5):1-6.
  Wang J J, Xiong Z Z, Li D B. Feasibility assessment of retrofitting elevators to existing multi-story residential buildings[J]. Building Science202036(5):1-6.
6 赵立志, 丁飞, 李晟凯. 老龄化背景下北京市老旧小区适老化改造对策[J]. 城市发展研究201724(7):11-14.
  Zhao L Z, Ding F, Li S K. Countermeasures for ageing-friendly renovation of old neighborhoods in Beijing in the context of aging[J]. Urban Development Research201724(7):11-14.
7 曹志锡, 陈德生. 现有多层住宅加装电梯的可行性分析[J]. 起重运输机械2005(6):42-43.
  Cao Z X, Chen D S. Feasibility analysis of retrofitting lifts to existing multi-storey residential buildings[J]. Lifting and Transport Machinery2005(6):42-43.
8 方林, 李承铭, 金骞. 既有多层住宅加装电梯不同结构体系分析研究[J]. 土木工程20198(5):8.
  Fang L, Li C M, Jin Q. Analysis and research on different structural systems for retrofitting lifts to existing multi-storey residential buildings[J]. Civil Engineering20198(5):8.
9 熊海丰, 陈瑞生. 既有多层住宅加装电梯结构设计问题分析[J]. 建筑结构202050(S1):848-851.
  Xiong H F, Chen R S. Analysis of structural design problems of retrofitting lifts to existing multi-storey residential buildings[J]. Building Structure202050(S1):848-851.
10 周万清, 陈尧, 门梦飞. 既有建筑加装电梯对结构部分构件的影响[J]. 三峡大学学报(自然科学版)201739(6):64-67.
  Zhou W Q, Chen Y, Men M F. Effects of retrofitting lifts to existing buildings on some structural components[J]. Journal of Three Gorges University (Natural Science Edition)201739(6):64-67.
11 冯德安, 文凯, 赵晓斌, 等. 既有建筑增设外挂电梯结构设计关键技术研究[J]. 重庆建筑201918(5):64-66.
  Feng D A, Wen K, Zhao X B, et al. Research on key technologies for structural design of additional external lifts in existing buildings[J]. Chongqing Architecture201918(5):64-66.
12 唐小辉, 李承铭, 方林. 上海地区既有多层住宅加装电梯若干结构问题探讨[J].建筑科技20182(4):20-23.
  Tang X H, Li C M, Fang L. Exploring some structural problems of retrofitting lifts to existing multi-storey residential buildings in Shanghai[J]. Building Technology20182(4):20-23.
13 罗福周, 张诺楠. 既有住宅宜居改造业主支付意愿影响机理——以加装电梯为例[J]. 土木工程与管理学报202037(2):7-13.
  Luo F Z, Zhang N N. Mechanisms influencing owners' willingness to pay for the livability improvement of existing houses: The example of lift retrofitting[J]. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management202037(2):7-13.
14 董乐明. 老旧小区加装电梯存在的主要问题及对策分析[J]. 经济研究导刊2020(32):46-47.
  Dong L M. Analysis of the main problems and countermeasures of retrofitting lifts in old neighborhoods[J]. Journal of Economic Research2020(32):46-47.
15 曲舒萌. 博弈论视角下准公共物品供给困境及对策研究——以老旧小区加装电梯为例[J]. 西部学刊2021(15): 146-149.
  Qu S M. A study on the dilemma of quasi-public goods supply and countermeasures from the perspective of game theory: An example of retrofitting lifts in old neighborhoods[J]. Western Journal2021(15): 146-149.
16 宁超乔. 既有住宅加装电梯费用分摊补偿办法的理论分析[J]. 城市问题2014(5):44-48.
  Ning C Q. A theoretical analysis of the cost-sharing compensation scheme for the retrofitting of lifts in existing residential buildings[J]. Urban Issues2014(5):44-48.
17 刘晓君, 孙勇凯. 老旧住宅加装电梯住户间费用分摊补偿研究[J].数学的实践与认识201949(10):114-121.
  Liu X J, Sun Y K. Research on cost-sharing compensation among households for retrofitting lifts in old residential buildings[J]. Practice and understanding of mathematics201949(10):114-121.
18 曾天浩,白芙蓉,邵慧. 既有多层住宅建筑增设电梯费用模型构建与应用[J]. 建筑经济202041(12):36-40.
  Zeng T H, Bai F R, Shao H. Construction and application of cost model for additional lifts in existing multi-storey residential buildings[J]. Construction Economics202041(12):36-40.
19 冯俏彬. “十四五”中国财政前瞻:统筹发展和安全[J]. 地方财政研究2021(1):4-12.
  Feng Q B. “China's fiscal foresight in the 14th Five-Year Plan: Integrating development and security[J]. Local Finance Research2021(1):4-12.
20 刘婧湜,王守清,冯珂,等.狭义PPP模式下棚户区改造项目结构创新研究[J].地方财政研究2015(8):15-19.
  Liu J S, Wang S Q, Feng K, et al. Research on structural innovation of shantytown renovation projects under narrow PPP model[J]. Local Finance Research2015(8):15-19.
21 Downer J W, Porter.Tate'S Cairn Tunnel, Hong Kong: South east Asia'S longest road.[C]//Proceedings of the 6th Australian Road Research Board Conference,Perth, November 9-13,1992.
22 Hall J.1998.Private opportunity,public benefit[J] Fiscal Studies199819(2): 121-40.
23 徐振强.城市更新中的集约利用资源与立法配套政策——以英国PPP模式推进旧城提质升级为例[J].上海城市管理201524(4):55-60.
  Xu Z Q. Intensive use of resources and legislative support policies in urban renewal: An example of the UK PPP model to promote the upgrading of old cities[J]. Shanghai Urban Management201524(4):55-60.
24 建设部国家计委. 建设项目经济评价方法与参数(第3版)[M]. 北京:中国计划出版社, 2008.
  National Planning Commission, Ministry of Construction. Methods and parameters for economic evaluation of construction projects (3rd ed.)[M]. Beijing: China Planning Press, 2008.
25 安育红.我国电梯保险险种设计研究[J].中国特种设备安全202036(12):19-23+30.
  An Y H. Research on the design of elevator insurance in China[J]. China Special Equipment Safety202036(12):19-23+30.
26 蔡勇.电梯安全管理与维修保养分析[J].中国设备工程2018(14):46-47.
  Cai Y. Analysis of elevator safety management and repair and maintenance [J]. China Equipment Engineering2018(14):46-47.
27 钟思哲. XN担保有限公司业务风险控制改进研究[D].长沙:湖南大学硕士论文,2017.
  Zhong S Z. Research on the improvement of business risk control of XN guarantee company limited[D].Changsha: Hunan University,2017.
28 慕丽杰,郭昆宇.日本金融支持养老地产行业的经验启示[J].国际金融2020(3):71-80.
  Mu L J, Guo K Y. Insights from the experience of Japan's financial support for the retirement property industry[J]. International Finance2020(3):71-80.
29 安文广, 王恩文. 电梯使用与维修保养问题[J]. 中国特种设备安全201228(12):57-59.
  An W G, Wang E W. Elevator use and maintenance problems [J]. China Special Equipment Safety201228(12):57-59.
Outlines

/