主管:中国科学院
主办:中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会
   中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院
Articles

Pre-IPO Disclosure and IPO First-day Returns

Expand
  • 1. School of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China;
    2. Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shanghai 200120, China

Received date: 2017-06-18

  Revised date: 2017-12-23

  Online published: 2018-12-25

Abstract

Considering the influence of long-term holding income of IPO stocks on investors' decision-making, the utility function of single-period decision-making is extended to the utility function of multi-period decision-making. Under the framework of rational anticipation model, a theoretical model is established based on the microscopic structure of China's IPO market. A theoretical explanation is provided for the microscopic mechanism of information disclosure that affects the IPO first-day returns.The model shows that information disclosure is negatively correlated with the return on the first day of the IPO. The disclosed information, namely public information, reduces the degree of deviation of the secondary market pricing from the primary market pricing, and thus has a negative impact on the IPO first-day returns. The 593 IPO companies listed on the Shenzhen Main Board from June 2009 to November 2016 tested the model empirically.The empirical results support the theoretical model conclusions.The research in this paper not only enriches the research literature on IPO first day returns in terms of research perspectives and methods,but also provides supervisors with relevant decision-making suggestions.

Cite this article

XU Guang-lu, MA Chao-qun, LIU Wei, Jia Yu . Pre-IPO Disclosure and IPO First-day Returns[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2018 , 26(10) : 10 -19 . DOI: 10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2018.10.002

References

[1] Leone A J, Rock S, Willenborg M.Disclosure of intended use of proceeds and underpricing in initial public offerings[J]. Journal of Accounting Research, 2007, 45(1):111-153.

[2] Chi Jing,Padgett C.Short-run underpricing and its characteristics in Chinese initial public offering (IPO) markets[J].Research in International Business and Finance,2005,19(1):71-93.

[3] Chan K, Wang Junbo, Wei K C J. Underpricing and long-term performance of IPOs in China[J]. Journal of Corporate Finance, 2004, 10(3):409-430.

[4] Chang E, Chen Chao,Chi Jing, et al. IPO underpricing in China:New evidence from the primary and secondary markets[J]. Emerging markets review, 2008, 9(1):1-16.

[5] 黄顺武,贾捷,汪文隽.基于双边随机边界模型的IPO抑价分解研究——来自中国创业板的证据[J].中国管理科学, 2017,25(2):21-29.

[6] 蒋顺才,蒋永明,胡琦.不同发行制度下我国新股首日收益率研究[J].管理世界,2006,(7):132-138.

[7] Ross S A. Disclosure regulation in financial markets:Implications of modern finance theory and signaling theory[J]. Issues in Financial Regulation, 1979, 5:177-202.

[8] Ritter J R. The "hot issue" market of 1980[J].Journal of Business, 1984,57(2):215-240.

[9] Ritter J R. Signaling and the valuation of unseasoned new issues:A comment[J]. The Journal of Finance, 1984, 39(4):1231-1237.

[10] Habib M A, Ljungqvist A P. Underpricing and entrepreneurial wealth losses in IPOs:Theory and evidence[J]. Review of Financial Studies, 2001, 14(2):433-458.

[11] Beatty R P, Ritter J R.Investment banking, reputation, and the underpricing of initial public offerings[J].Journal of Financial Economics, 1986, 15(1-2):213-232.

[12] Beatty R P, Welch I. Issuer expenses and legal liability in initial public offerings[J]. The Journal of Law and Economics, 1996, 39(2):545-602.

[13] Shi C, Pukthuanthong K, Walker T.Does disclosure regulation work? Evidence from international IPO markets[J]. Contemporary Accounting Research, 2013, 30(1):356-387.

[14] Barry C B,Brown S J.Differential information and the small firm effect[J].Journal of Financial Economics, 1984, 13(2):283-294.

[15] Diamond D W,Verrecchia R E.Disclosure,liquidity,and the cost of capital[J].The Journal of Finance,1991,46(4):1325-1359.

[16] 陈胜蓝.财务会计信息与IPO抑价[J].金融研究,2010,(5):152-165.

[17] 黄瑜琴,李莉,陶利斌.机构投资者报价行为,承销商定价策略与IPO市场表现研究[J].金融研究,2013,(7):180-193.

[18] 李冬昕,李心丹,俞红海,等.询价机构报价中的意见分歧与IPO定价机制研究[J].经济研究,2014,49(7):151-164.

[19] Duarte J,Young L.Why is PIN priced?[J].Journal of Financial Economics,2009,91(2):119-138.

[20] Kandel E, Pearson N D. Differential interpretation of public signals and trade in speculative markets[J]. Journal of Political Economy, 1995, 103(4):831-872.

[21] Sarkar A, Schwartz R A. Market sidedness:Insights into motives for trade initiation[J]. The Journal of Finance, 2009, 64(1):375-423.

[22] Yin Xiangkang, Zhao Jing. A hidden markov model approach to information-based trading:Theory and applications[J]. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2015, 30(7):1210-1234.

[23] Zhang Feng. Information precision and IPO pricing[J].Journal of Corporate Finance, 2012, 18(2):331-348.

[24] Easley D,Kiefer N M,O'hara M, et al.Liquidity,information,and infrequently traded stocks[J].The Journal of Finance,1996,51(4):1405-1436.

[25] 许敏,刘善存.交易者市场到达率及影响因素研究[J].管理科学学报,2010,(1):85-94.

[26] Yan Yuxing,Zhang Shaojun.An improved estimation method and empirical properties of the probability of informed trading[J].Journal of Banking & Finance,2012,36(2):454-467.

[27] Jensen M C,Meckling W.Theory of the firm:ManageriaL behavior,agency costs and capital structure[J].Journal of Financial Economics,1976,3(4):305-360.

[28] Vega C.Stock price reaction to public and private information[J].Journal of Financial Economics,2006,82(1):103-133.
Outlines

/