Chinese Journal of Management Science ›› 2008, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (4): 159-162.
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WANG Ye-mei, DANG Yao-guo, WANG Zheng-xin
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Abstract: As the background value is an important factor affecting the precision of grey system model, this paper makes a research on the background value in non-equidistant GM (1,1) model.Based on index characteristic of grey model and the definition of integral, we use the discrete function with non-homogeneous exponential law to fit the accumulated sequence to propose a new method to optimize the background value in non-equidistant GM (1,1) model.The example indicates the precision of simulation and forecast by this optimized background value is obviously higher.This new formula of background value is motonly suitable in non-equidistant GM (1,1) model, but also in equidistant GM (1,1) model, and has high precision and wide applicability.
Key words: non-equidistant, GM (1,1) model, background value, optimize
CLC Number:
C931
WANG Ye-mei, DANG Yao-guo, WANG Zheng-xin. The Optimization of Background Value in Non-Equidistant GM(1,1) Model[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2008, 16(4): 159-162.
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