[1] Tokar T, Aloysius J, Williams B, et al. Bracing for demand shocks:An experimental investigation[J]. Journal of Operations Management, 2014, 32(4):205-216.[2] O'Neil S, Zhao Xuying, Sun D, et al. Newsvendor problems with demand shocks and unknown demand distributions[J]. Decision Sciences, 2016, 47(1):125-156.[3] Levi R, Roundy RO, Shmoys DB. Provably near-optimal sampling-based policies for stochastic inventory control models[J]. Mathematics of Operations Research,2007, 32(4):821-839.[4] 宋华明, 杨慧, 罗建强, 等. 需求预测更新情形下的供应链Stackelberg博弈与协调研究[J]. 中国管理科学, 2010, 18(4):86-92.[5] 陈敬贤,孟庆峰. 应对突发事件的库存共享策略[J]. 中国管理科学,2015, 23(4):65-72.[6] 张欢,汪贤裕. 虚拟第三方控制下供应链对突发事件的协调研究[J]. 中国管理科学,2010,18(1):66-71.[7] 徐贤浩, 邓晨, 彭红霞. 基于供应链金融的随机需求条件下的订货策略[J]. 中国管理科学, 2011, 19(2):63-70.[8] Massey C, Wu G. Detecting regime shifts:The causes of under-and overreaction[J]. Management Science, 2005, 51(6):932-947.[9] Kremer M, Moritz B, Siemsen E. Demand forecasting behavior:system neglect and change detection[J]. Management Science, 2011, 57(10):1827-1843.[10] 冯芷艳,郭迅华,曾大军,等. 大数据背景下商务管理研究若干前沿课题[J]. 管理科学学报,2013, 16(1):1-9.[11] Xie K L, Zhang Z Lili, Zhang Ziqiong. The business value of online consumer reviews and management response to hotel performance[J]. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 2014, 43(1):1-12.[12] Nassirtoussi A K, Aghabozorgi S, Wah T H, et al. Text minings of news-headlines for FOREX market prediction:A multi-layer dimension reducing algorithm with semantics and sentiment[J]. Expert Systems with Applications, 2015, 42(1):306-324.[13] McAfee A, Brynjolfsson E. Big data:The management revolution[J]. Harvard Business Review, 2012, 90(10):60-68.[14] Murphy A H. The early history of probability forecasts:Some extensions and clarification[J]. Weather and Forecasting, 1998, 13(1):5-15.[15] Arrow K J, Harris T, Marschak J. Optimal inventory policy[J]. Econometrica, 1951,19(3):250-272.[16] Azoury K S. Bayes solution to dynamic inventory models under unknown demand distribution[J]. Management Science, 1985, 31(9):1150-1160.[17] Scarf H. Bayes solutions of the statistical inventory problem[J]. The Annals Mathematical Statistics, 1959, 30(2):490-508.[18] Godfrey G A, Powell W B. An adaptive, distribution-free algorithm for the Newsvendor problem with censored demands, with applications to inventory and distribution[J]. Management Science, 2001, 47(8):1101-1112.[19] Fisher M, Raman A. Reducing the cost of demand uncertainty through accurate response to early sales[J]. Operations Research, 1996, 44(1):87-99.[20] Goodwin P. Intergrating management judgment and statistical forecast to improve short-term forecast[J]. Omega:The International Journal of Management Science, 2002, 30(2):127-135.[21] Arora S, Taylor JW. Short-term forecasting of anomalous load using rule-based triple seasonal methods[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2013, 28(3):3235-3242.[22] 高山晟. 经济学中的分析方法(第一版)[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2013.[23] Dvoretzky A, Kiefer J, Wolfowitz J. The inventory problem:I. Case of known distributions of demand[J]. Econometrica, 1952, 20(2):187-222.[24] Dvoretzky A, Kiefer J, Wolfowitz J. The inventory problem:Ⅱ. Case of unknown distributions of demand[J]. Econometrica, 1952, 20(3):450-466.[25] Karlin S, Scarf H. Inventory models of the arrow-harris-marschak type with time lag[M]//Arrow K J, Karlin S, Scarf H. Studies in the mathematical theory of inventory and production, Palo Alto, CA:Standford University Press, 1958.[26] Hayes R H. Statistical estimation problems in inventory control[J]. Management Science, 1969, 15(11):686-701.[27] Liyanage L H, Shanthikumar J G. A practical inventory control policy using operational statistics[J]. Operations Research Letters, 2005, 33(4):341-348.[28] Wu Jianghua. Quantity flexibility contracts under Bayesian updating[J]. Computers & Operations Research, 2005, 32(5):1267-1288.[29] Janssen E, Strijbosch L, Brekelmans R. Assessing the effects of using demand parameters estimates in inventory control and improving the performance using a correction function[J]. International Journal of Production Economics, 2009, 118(1):34-42.[30] Yue Jinfeng, Wang M C, Chen Bintong. Mean-range based distribution-free procedures to minimize "overage" and "underage" costs[J]. Europe Journal of Operations Research, 2007, 176(2):1103-1116.[31] Gülplnar N, Pachamanova D, Çanako?lu E. Robust strategies for facility location under uncertainty[J]. European Journal of Operational Research, 2013, 225(1):21-35.[32] Kunnumkal S, Topaloglu H. Using stochastic approximation methods to compute optimal base-stock levels in inventory control problems[J]. Operations Research, 2008, 56(3):646-664.[33] Huh W T, Rusmevichientong P. A nonparametric asymptotic analysis of inventory planning with censored demand. Math[J]. Operations Research, 2009, 34(1):103-123.[34] 隽志如,王海燕. 基于需求分布突变检测的两阶段库存管理方法[J]. 系统工程学报. 2013. 28(5):651-659.[35] Lynn S K, Barrett L E. "Utilizing" signal detection theory[J]. Psychological Science, 2014, 25:1663-1673. |